Privacy
Can we include your survey data in a public dataset?:
Yes: 2571 0.834
No: 113 0.037
N/A: 399 0.129
Do you consent to having your survey responses being used as part of a research paper?:
Yes: 2576 0.836
No: 106 0.034
N/A: 401 0.13
Demographic Information
Age:
Sum: 66645.9
Mean: 28.108772669759592
Median: 26.0
Mode: 23.0
Sex - What sex were you assigned at birth?:
Male: 2021 0.656
Female: 393 0.127
Other: 6 0.0019461563412260785
None: 662 0.215
Gender - With what gender do you primarily identify?:
F (cisgender): 321 0.104
F (transgender MtF): 65 0.021
M (cisgender): 1829 0.593
M (transgender FtM): 23 0.007
Other: 156 0.05060006487187804
None: 677 0.22
Country - If multiple possible answers, please choose the one you most identify with. Twelve popular answers are given below; otherwise please write your country into "Other" in the same format as the answers given:
United States: 1298 0.421
United Kingdom: 183 0.059
Canada: 144 0.047
Australia: 141 0.046
Germany: 85 0.028
Russia: 57 0.018
Finland: 25 0.008
New Zealand: 26 0.008
India: 24 0.008
Brazil: 16 0.005
France: 34 0.011
Israel: 29 0.009
Other: 354 0.11482322413233863
None: 666 0.216
Race - With what race do you most identify? "Hispanic" is a term mostly used in the US referring to people whose ethnic background is from Mexico, Central America, and South America.:
Asian (East Asian): 80 0.026
Asian (Indian subcontinent): 60 0.019
Middle Eastern: 14 0.005
Black: 12 0.004
White (non-Hispanic): 2059 0.668
Hispanic: 57 0.018
Other: 108 0.03503081414206941
None: 683 0.222
Sex, Relationships
What is your sexual orientation?:
Heterosexual: 1640 0.532
Homosexual: 103 0.033
Bisexual: 428 0.139
Other: 144 0.04670775218942588
None: 753 0.244
Are you asexual?:
Yes: 171 0.055
No: 2129 0.691
N/A: 783 0.254
What is your preferred relationship style?:
Prefer monogomous: 1190 0.386
Prefer polyamorous: 426 0.138
Uncertain/no preference: 673 0.218
Other: 45 0.014596172559195588
None: 747 0.242
Number of Partners:
0: 1094 0.355
1: 1039 0.337
2: 107 0.035
3: 46 0.015
4: 15 0.005
5: 8 0.003
Lots and lots: 29 0.009
None: 745 0.242
Relationship Goals:
...and seeking more relationship partners: 577 0.187
...and possibly open to more relationship partners: 716 0.232
...and currently not looking for more relationship partners: 1034 0.335
None: 756 0.245
Are you married?:
Yes: 443 0.144
No: 1885 0.611
N/A: 755 0.245
Who do you currently live with most of the time?
:
Alone: 487 0.158
With parents and/or guardians: 476 0.154
With partner and/or children: 687 0.223
With roommates: 619 0.201
Other: 69 0.0223807979240999
None: 743 0.241
How many children do you have?:
0: 2042 0.662
1: 115 0.037
2: 124 0.04
3: 48 0.016
4: 7 0.002
5: 6 0.002
6: 2 0.001
Lots and lots: 3 0.001
None: 736 0.239
Are you planning on having more children?:
Yes: 720 0.234
Uncertain: 755 0.245
No: 869 0.282
None: 739 0.24
Employment, Occupation, Education
What do you currently do?:
Student:
Yes: 968 0.3139798897178073
No: 1442 0.46772624067466756
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
Academics (on the teaching side):
Yes: 205 0.06649367499189102
No: 2205 0.7152124554005839
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
Self-employed:
Yes: 309 0.10022705157314304
No: 2101 0.6814790788193318
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
Independently wealthy:
Yes: 42 0.013623094388582549
No: 2368 0.7680830360038923
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
Non-profit work:
Yes: 152 0.04930262731106066
No: 2258 0.7324035030814142
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
For-profit work:
Yes: 954 0.3094388582549465
No: 1456 0.4722672721375284
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
Government work:
Yes: 135 0.043788517677586763
No: 2275 0.7379176127148881
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
Homemaker:
Yes: 47 0.015244891339604282
No: 2363 0.7664612390528706
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
Unemployed :
Yes: 228 0.07395394096659098
No: 2182 0.7077521894258839
N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514
In what area do you currently work or study?:
Philosophy: 54 0.018
Finance / Economics: 116 0.038
Statistics: 44 0.014
Computers (AI): 79 0.026
Computers (other academic, computer science): 156 0.051
Computers (practical: IT, programming, etc.): 681 0.221
Physics: 91 0.03
Biology: 49 0.016
Medicine: 49 0.016
Mathematics: 147 0.048
Neuroscience: 28 0.009
Other "hard science": 26 0.008
Psychology: 48 0.016
Other "social science": 48 0.016
Engineering: 150 0.049
Business: 72 0.023
Law: 50 0.016
Art: 51 0.017
Other: 277 0.08984755108660396
None: 849 0.275
What is your highest education credential earned?:
None: 96 0.031
High School: 617 0.2
2 year degree: 105 0.034
Bachelor's: 815 0.264
Master's: 415 0.135
JD/MD/other professional degree: 66 0.021
PhD: 145 0.047
Other: 39 0.01265001621796951
None: 773 0.251
IQ And Other Numbers That Purport To Measure Your Intelligence (Bonus Section)
IQ - Please give the score you got on your most recent PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC IQ test - no Internet tests, please! All tests should have the standard average of 100 and stdev of 15.:
Sum: 90972.48999999999
Mean: 138.466499238965
Median: 138.0
Mode: 135.0
IQ Age - At what age, in years, did you take the IQ test above?:
Sum: 21626.0
Mean: 32.916286149162865
Median: 17.0
Mode: 16.0
IQ Type - Please give a short description of the IQ test you took, for example "It was Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale administered at my school". If you don't remember or don't know how to describe the test, leave this blank.:
SAT scores out of 1600 - American students take the SATs before going to college. In olden days, the test was scored out of 1600. if you have an SAT score out of 1600, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.:
Sum: 635725.0
Mean: 1458.084862385321
Median: 1490.0
Mode: 1600.0
SAT scores out of 2400 - American students take the SATs before going to college. Nowadays, the test is scored out of 2400. If you have an SAT score out of 2400, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.:
Sum: 1068102.0
Mean: 2206.8223140495866
Median: 2240.0
Mode: 2340.0
ACT score out of 36 - Some American students take the ACTs before going to college. If you have an ACT score out of 36, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.:
Sum: 12379.0
Mean: 32.40575916230367
Median: 33.0
Mode: 35.0
Politics, Religion, Ethics
Given that no label can completely describe a person's political views, with which of these labels do you MOST identify?:
Libertarian, for example like the US Libertarian Party: socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no distribution of wealth: 519 0.168
Conservative, for example the US Republican Party and UK Tories: traditional values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth: 115 0.037
Liberal, for example the US Democratic Party or the UK Labour Party: socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth: 614 0.199
Social democratic, for example Scandinavian countries: socially permissive, high taxes, major redistribution of wealth: 786 0.255
Communist, for example the old Soviet Union: complete state control of many facets of life: 30 0.01
None: 1019 0.331
How would you describe your religious views?:
Committed theist: 115 0.037
Lukewarm theist: 80 0.026
Deist/Pantheist/etc.: 57 0.018
Agnostic: 250 0.081
Atheist but spiritual: 170 0.055
Atheist and not spiritual: 1491 0.484
None: 920 0.298
Which best describes the religion you believe?:
Christian (Catholic): 72 0.023
Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 19 0.006
Christian (Protestant): 99 0.032
Christian (Mormon): 8 0.003
Hindu: 11 0.004
Buddhist: 39 0.013
Traditional Chinese: 2 0.001
Muslim: 5 0.002
Unitarian Universalism or similar: 26 0.008
Jewish: 57 0.018
Mixed/Other: 49 0.016
Other: 69 0.0223807979240999
None: 2596 0.842
How would you describe the religious views of your family when you were growing up?:
Committed theist: 551 0.179
Lukewarm theist: 716 0.232
Deist/Pantheist/etc: 44 0.014
Agnostic: 247 0.08
Atheist but spiritual: 114 0.037
Atheist and not spiritual: 346 0.112
Mixed / Other: 100 0.032
Other: 42 0.013623094388582549
None: 922 0.299
What is your family's religious background, as of the last time your family practiced a religion?:
Christian (Catholic): 589 0.191
Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 159 0.052
Christian (Protestant): 776 0.252
Christian (Mormon): 37 0.012
Hindu: 42 0.014
Buddhist: 17 0.006
Traditional Chinese: 19 0.006
Muslim: 15 0.005
Unitarian Universalism or similar: 45 0.015
Jewish: 207 0.067
Mixed/Other: 96 0.031
Other: 94 0.030489782679208564
None: 984 0.319
With which of these meta-ethical views do you MOST identify? (Bonus Question):
Non-cognitivism: Moral statements don't express propositions and can neither be true nor false. "Murder is wrong" means something like "Boo murder!".: 187 0.061
Error theory: Moral statements have a truth-value, but attempt to describe features of the world that don't exist. "Murder is wrong" and "Murder is right" are both false statements because moral rightness and wrongness aren't features that exist.: 100 0.032
Subjectivism: Some moral statements are true, but not universally, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by non-universal opinions or prescriptions, and there is no non-attitudinal determinant of rightness and wrongness. "Murder is wrong" means something like "My culture has judged murder to be wrong" or "I've judged murder to be wrong".: 555 0.18
Substantive realism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by mind-independent moral properties. "Murder is wrong" means that murder has an objective mind-independent property of wrongness that we discover by empirical investigation, intuition, or some other method.: 347 0.113
Constructivism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by whether an agent would accept it if they were undergoing a process of rational deliberation. "Murder is wrong" can mean something like "Societal agreement to the rule 'do not murder' is instrumentally rational".: 781 0.253
None: 1113 0.361
Experience With LessWrong
How Did You Find LessWrong?:
Been here since it was started in the Overcoming Bias days: 171 0.055
Referred by a link: 276 0.09
HPMOR: 542 0.176
Overcoming Bias: 81 0.026
Referred by a friend: 265 0.086
Referred by a search engine: 131 0.042
Referred by other fiction: 14 0.005
Slate Star Codex: 243 0.079
Reddit: 57 0.018
Common Sense Atheism: 19 0.006
Hacker News: 48 0.016
Gwern: 23 0.007
Other: 193 0.06260136230943886
None: 1021 0.331
How do you use Less Wrong?:
I lurk, but never registered an account: 1125 0.365
I've registered an account, but never posted: 271 0.088
I've posted a comment, but never a top-level post: 419 0.136
I've posted in Discussion, but not Main: 179 0.058
I've posted in Main: 73 0.024
None: 1016 0.33
How often do you comment on LessWrong?:
I have commented more than once a week for the past year.: 26 0.008
I have commented more than once a month for the past year but less than once a week.: 63 0.02
I have commented but less than once a month for the past year.: 226 0.073
I have not commented this year.: 1725 0.56
None: 1043 0.338
How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?:
How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?:
I wrote one today.: 14 0.005
Within the last three days.: 14 0.005
Within the last week.: 22 0.007
Within the last month.: 58 0.019
Within the last three months.: 76 0.025
Within the last six months.: 68 0.022
Within the last year.: 84 0.027
Within the last five years.: 295 0.096
Longer than five years.: 15 0.005
I've never posted on LW.: 1247 0.404
None: 1190 0.386
About how much of the Sequences - the collection of Eliezer Yudkowsky's original posts - have you read? You can find a list of them here.:
Never knew they existed until this moment: 217 0.07
Knew they existed, but never looked at them: 103 0.033
Some, but less than 25%: 442 0.143
About 25%: 260 0.084
About 50%: 284 0.092
About 75%: 299 0.097
All or almost all: 491 0.159
None: 987 0.32
Do you attend Less Wrong meetups?:
Yes, regularly: 160 0.052
Yes, once or a few times: 407 0.132
No: 1524 0.494
None: 992 0.322
Is physical interaction with the Less Wrong community otherwise a part of your everyday life, for example do you live with other Less Wrongers, or you are close friends and frequently go out with them?:
Yes, all the time: 161 0.052
Yes, sometimes: 258 0.084
No: 1659 0.538
None: 1005 0.326
Have you ever been in a romantic relationship with someone you met through the Less Wrong community?:
Yes: 132 0.043
I didn’t meet them through the community but they’re part of the community now: 102 0.033
No: 1858 0.603
None: 991 0.321
Roko's Basilisk (Bonus Section)
Do you know what Roko's Basilisk thought experiment is?:
Yes: 1521 0.493
No but I've heard of it: 158 0.051
No: 398 0.129
None: 1006 0.326
Where did you read Roko's argument for the Basilisk?:
Roko's post on LessWrong: 323 0.105
Reddit: 171 0.055
XKCD: 61 0.02
LessWrong Wiki: 234 0.076
A news article: 71 0.023
Word of mouth: 222 0.072
RationalWiki: 314 0.102
Other: 194 0.06292572169964321
None: 1485 0.482
:
Yes: 75 0.024
Yes but I don't think it's logical conclusions apply for other reasons: 339 0.11
No: 1055 0.342
None: 1614 0.524
Do you think Basilisk-like thought experiments are dangerous?:
Yes, I think they're dangerous for decision theory reasons: 63 0.02
Yes I think they're dangerous for social reasons (eg. A cult might use them): 194 0.063
Yes I think they're dangerous for decision theory and social reasons: 136 0.044
Yes I think they're socially dangerous because they make everybody involved look foolish: 253 0.082
Yes I think they're dangerous for other reasons: 54 0.018
No: 809 0.262
None: 1569 0.509
Have you ever felt any sort of anxiety about the Basilisk?:
Yes: 142 0.046
Yes but only because I worry about everything: 189 0.061
No: 1275 0.414
None: 1477 0.479
What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?:
What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?:
I haven't: 714 0.232
A few seconds: 237 0.077
A minute: 298 0.097
An hour: 176 0.057
A day: 40 0.013
Two days: 16 0.005
Three days: 12 0.004
A week: 12 0.004
A month: 5 0.002
One to three months: 2 0.001
Three to six months: 0 0.0
Six to nine months: 0 0.0
Nine months to a year: 1 0.0
Over a year: 1 0.0
Years: 4 0.001
None: 1565 0.508
Are you currently worrying about the Basilisk?:
Yes: 29 0.009
Yes but only because I worry about everything: 60 0.019
No: 1522 0.494
None: 1472 0.477
Mental Health (Bonus Section)
Have you ever been diagnosed with depression?:
No: 0 0.0
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 0 0.0
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 0 0.0
None: 1042 0.338
Have you ever been diagnosed with obsessive compulsive disorder?:
No: 1858 0.603
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 114 0.037
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 54 0.018
None: 1057 0.343
Have you ever been diagnosed with any autism spectrum disorder?:
No: 1602 0.52
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 261 0.085
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 166 0.054
None: 1054 0.342
Have you ever been diagnosed with any variant of attention deficit disorder?:
No: 1544 0.501
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 212 0.069
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 277 0.09
None: 1050 0.341
Have you ever been diagnosed with bipolar disorder?:
No: 1923 0.624
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 56 0.018
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 45 0.015
None: 1059 0.343
Have you ever been diagnosed with any anxiety disorder, eg panic disorder, generalized anxiety disorder, social anxiety disorder?:
No: 1399 0.454
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 354 0.115
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 278 0.09
None: 1052 0.341
Have you ever been diagnosed with borderline personality disorder?:
No: 1985 0.644
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 24 0.008
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 13 0.004
None: 1061 0.344
Have you ever been diagnosed with schizophrenia?:
No: 2006 0.651
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 8 0.003
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 16 0.005
None: 1053 0.342
Have you ever been diagnosed with substance use disorder?:
No: 1930 0.626
Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 73 0.024
Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 26 0.008
None: 1054 0.342
Have you ever wondered whether you might have a substance abuse problem?:
Yes: 313 0.102
Yes but only because I worry about everything: 198 0.064
No: 1522 0.494
None: 1050 0.341
Have your friends and family ever expressed concern that you are abusing substances?:
Yes: 157 0.051
Yes but only because they worry about everything: 113 0.037
Yes but only because they're suspicious of pharmaceutical medication: 51 0.017
No: 1715 0.556
None: 1047 0.34
What were the biggest problems with LessWrong at its peak?
Philosophical Issues:
Over Reliance On The Sequences.:
Yes: 345 0.11190398962049951
No: 1728 0.5604930262731106
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Focus On AI.:
Yes: 259 0.08400908206292572
No: 1814 0.5883879338306844
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Focus On Cryonics.:
Yes: 256 0.08303600389231268
No: 1817 0.5893610120012974
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Criticism Of The Scientific Method.:
Yes: 122 0.03957184560493026
No: 1951 0.6328251702886799
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Too Much Jargon.:
Yes: 485 0.157314304249108
No: 1588 0.5150827116445021
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Too Focused On Abstract Junk.:
Yes: 246 0.07979240999026922
No: 1827 0.5926046059033409
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. :
Yes: 922 0.2990593577684074
No: 1151 0.3733376581252027
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
[Write in below]:
Yes: 199 0.06454751865066494
No: 1874 0.6078494972429452
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
[Write in below]:
Yes: 39 0.01265001621796951
No: 2034 0.6597469996756407
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Write in one::
Write in two::
Community Issues:
Not Enough In Person Interaction.:
Yes: 164 0.05319493999351281
No: 1909 0.6192020759000973
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Overly High Standards For Content Submission.:
Yes: 198 0.06422315926046059
No: 1875 0.6081738566331495
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Failure to cite sources.:
Yes: 159 0.05157314304249108
No: 1914 0.6208238728511191
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest.:
Yes: 161 0.05222186182289977
No: 1912 0.6201751540707103
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Lame Forum Software.:
Yes: 218 0.07071034706454751
No: 1855 0.6016866688290626
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Too Autistic.:
Yes: 115 0.037301329873499836
No: 1958 0.6350956860201102
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks.:
Yes: 148 0.04800518975024327
No: 1925 0.6243918261433669
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Too Tolerant Of Laziness.:
Yes: 65 0.021083360363282518
No: 2008 0.6513136555303276
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Too Tolerant Of Creepy People.:
Yes: 85 0.027570548167369445
No: 1988 0.6448264677262406
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction.:
Yes: 126 0.04086928316574765
No: 1947 0.6315277327278624
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Too Tolerant Of Progressivism.:
Yes: 30 0.009730781706130393
No: 2043 0.6626662341874797
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Literally A Cult. :
Yes: 121 0.039247486214725916
No: 1952 0.6331495296788842
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. :
Yes: 844 0.2737593253324684
No: 1229 0.39863769056114173
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
[Write in below]:
Yes: 199 0.06454751865066494
No: 1874 0.6078494972429452
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
[Write in below]:
Yes: 30 0.009730781706130393
No: 2043 0.6626662341874797
N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899
Write in one::
Write in two::
What are the biggest problems with LessWrong now?
Philosophical Issues:
Over Reliance On The Sequences.:
Yes: 316 0.10249756730457346
No: 1727 0.5601686668829062
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Focus On AI.:
Yes: 247 0.08011676938047356
No: 1796 0.5825494648070062
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Focus On Cryonics.:
Yes: 184 0.05968212779759974
No: 1859 0.60298410638988
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Criticism Of The Scientific Method.:
Yes: 73 0.02367823548491729
No: 1970 0.6389879987025624
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Too Much Jargon.:
Yes: 430 0.13947453778786895
No: 1613 0.5231916963996107
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Too Focused On Abstract Junk.:
Yes: 259 0.08400908206292572
No: 1784 0.578657152124554
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
[Write in below]:
Yes: 186 0.06033084657800843
No: 1857 0.6023353876094713
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
[Write in below]:
Yes: 31 0.010055141096334739
No: 2012 0.652611093091145
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Write in one::
Write in two::
Community Issues:
No New Content:
Yes: 417 0.13525786571521245
No: 1626 0.5274083684722672
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
No New *Good* Content:
Yes: 812 0.2633798248459293
No: 1231 0.39928640934155046
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest:
Yes: 269 0.08725267596496919
No: 1774 0.5754135582225105
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Lame Forum Software:
Yes: 251 0.08141420694129095
No: 1792 0.5812520272461887
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Decline from new people coming in who don't understand the culture:
Yes: 217 0.07038598767434318
No: 1826 0.5922802465131366
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Decline from evaporative cooling (http://lesswrong.com/lw/lr/evaporative_cooling_of_group_beliefs/):
Yes: 288 0.09341550437885177
No: 1755 0.569250729808628
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Decline from dunning kruger where competent refrain from posting what they feel to be sub par content (and by extension, posting content at all) but incompetent don't :
Yes: 386 0.12520272461887771
No: 1657 0.537463509568602
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Not Enough In Person Interaction:
Yes: 127 0.041193642555951995
No: 1916 0.6214725916315277
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Overly High Standards For Content Submission:
Yes: 124 0.040220564385338956
No: 1919 0.6224456698021408
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Failure to cite sources:
Yes: 87 0.028219266947778137
No: 1956 0.6344469672397016
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Too Autistic:
Yes: 108 0.03503081414206941
No: 1935 0.6276354200454103
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks:
Yes: 138 0.0447615958481998
No: 1905 0.6179046383392799
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Too Tolerant Of Laziness:
Yes: 66 0.021407719753486862
No: 1977 0.6412585144339928
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Too Tolerant Of Creepy People:
Yes: 70 0.02270515731430425
No: 1973 0.6399610768731755
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction:
Yes: 113 0.03665261109309115
No: 1930 0.6260136230943886
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Too Tolerant Of Progressivism:
Yes: 47 0.015244891339604282
No: 1996 0.6474213428478754
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Literally A Cult :
Yes: 88 0.028543626337982485
No: 1955 0.6341226078494973
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
[Write in below]:
Yes: 190 0.06162828413882582
No: 1853 0.6010379500486539
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
[Write in below]:
Yes: 38 0.012325656827765165
No: 2005 0.6503405773597145
N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203
Write in one::
Write in two::
What would you want from a successor?
Philosophically:
Attention Paid To Outside Sources:
More: 1047 0.33960428154395067
Same: 416 0.1349335063250081
Less: 13 0.0042166720726565035
None: 1607 0.5212455400583846
Self Improvement Focus:
More: 757 0.24554005838469023
Same: 602 0.19526435290301655
Less: 135 0.043788517677586763
None: 1589 0.5154070710347065
AI Focus:
More: 186 0.06033084657800843
Same: 822 0.26662341874797274
Less: 458 0.14855660071359067
None: 1617 0.5244891339604282
Political:
More: 332 0.10768731754784301
Same: 773 0.2507298086279598
Less: 347 0.11255270840090821
None: 1631 0.529030165423289
Academic/Formal:
More: 457 0.1482322413233863
Same: 806 0.26143366850470323
Less: 169 0.054816736944534546
None: 1651 0.5355173532273759
[Write in your own]:
More: 146 0.04735647096983458
Same: 44 0.014271813168991242
Less: 29 0.009406422315926047
None: 2864 0.9289652935452481
[Write in your own]:
More: 40 0.012974375608173857
Same: 20 0.006487187804086928
Less: 17 0.005514109633473889
None: 3006 0.9750243269542653
[Write in your own]:
More: 24 0.007784625364904314
Same: 9 0.0029192345118391177
Less: 8 0.0025948751216347712
None: 3042 0.9867012650016218
Write in one::
Write in two::
Write in three::
Community:
Intense Environment:
More: 255 0.08271164450210834
Same: 833 0.2701913720402206
Less: 210 0.06811547194291274
None: 1785 0.5789815115147584
Focused On 'Real World' Action:
More: 741 0.2403503081414207
Same: 567 0.1839117742458644
Less: 71 0.023029516704508597
None: 1704 0.5527084009082063
Experts:
More: 750 0.2432695426532598
Same: 579 0.18780408692831657
Less: 23 0.007460265974699967
None: 1731 0.5614661044437237
Data Driven/Testing Of Ideas:
More: 1110 0.3600389231268245
Same: 293 0.0950373013298735
Less: 15 0.004865390853065196
None: 1665 0.5400583846902368
Social:
More: 584 0.1894258838793383
Same: 686 0.22251054168018164
Less: 75 0.02432695426532598
None: 1738 0.563736620175154
[Write in your own]:
More: 68 0.022056438533895557
Same: 9 0.0029192345118391177
Less: 20 0.006487187804086928
None: 2986 0.9685371391501784
[Write in your own]:
More: 20 0.006487187804086928
Same: 10 0.003243593902043464
Less: 5 0.001621796951021732
None: 3048 0.9886474213428479
[Write in your own]:
More: 11 0.0035679532922478106
Same: 4 0.0012974375608173856
Less: 1 0.0003243593902043464
None: 3067 0.9948102497567305
Write in one::
Write in two::
Write in three::
Where do you hang out now?
I'm Currently An Active Member Of:
LessWrong:
Yes: 354 0.11482322413233863
No: 1604 0.5202724618877717
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
LessWrong Meetups:
Yes: 216 0.07006162828413882
No: 1742 0.5650340577359715
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
LessWrong Facebook Group:
Yes: 172 0.055789815115147585
No: 1786 0.5793058709049627
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
LessWrong Slack:
Yes: 56 0.018164125851443398
No: 1902 0.6169315601686669
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
SlateStarCodex:
Yes: 837 0.27148880960103794
No: 1121 0.36360687641907236
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
Rationalist Tumblr:
Yes: 352 0.11417450535192994
No: 1606 0.5209211806681804
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
Rationalist Facebook:
Yes: 151 0.04897826792085631
No: 1807 0.586117418099254
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
Rationalist Twitter:
Yes: 60 0.019461563412260786
No: 1898 0.6156341226078494
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
Effective Altruism Hub:
Yes: 99 0.03211157963023029
No: 1859 0.60298410638988
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
FortForecast:
Yes: 5 0.001621796951021732
No: 1953 0.6334738890690885
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
Good Judgement(TM) Open:
Yes: 31 0.010055141096334739
No: 1927 0.6250405449237756
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
PredictionBook:
Yes: 60 0.019461563412260786
No: 1898 0.6156341226078494
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
Omnilibrium:
Yes: 9 0.0029192345118391177
No: 1949 0.6321764515082712
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
Hacker News:
Yes: 253 0.08206292572169964
No: 1705 0.5530327602984106
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
#lesswrong on freenode :
Yes: 77 0.024975673045734673
No: 1881 0.6101200129743756
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
#slatestarcodex on freenode:
Yes: 37 0.012001297437560817
No: 1921 0.6230943885825495
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
#hplusroadmap on freenode:
Yes: 5 0.001621796951021732
No: 1953 0.6334738890690885
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
#chapelperilous on freenode:
Yes: 11 0.0035679532922478106
No: 1947 0.6315277327278624
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
/r/rational:
Yes: 275 0.08919883230619527
No: 1683 0.545896853713915
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
/r/HPMOR:
Yes: 232 0.07525137852740837
No: 1726 0.5598443074927019
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
/r/SlateStarCodex:
Yes: 245 0.07946805060006487
No: 1713 0.5556276354200455
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
One or more private 'rationalist' groups :
Yes: 193 0.06260136230943886
No: 1765 0.5724943237106714
N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897
Other:
Yes: 0 0.0
No: 0 0.0
N/A: 0 0.0
Would you consider rejoining LessWrong?:
I never left: 671 0.218
Yes: 557 0.181
Yes, but only under certain conditions: 206 0.067
No: 218 0.071
None: 1431 0.464
If you would only rejoin under certain conditions, what would those be?:
Interests And Media
Do You Read These Blogs:
LessWrong:
Regular Reader: 239 0.07752189425883879
Sometimes: 642 0.2082387285111904
Rarely: 537 0.17418099253973401
Almost Never: 272 0.08822575413558223
Never: 70 0.02270515731430425
Never Heard Of It: 14 0.0045410314628608495
None: 1309 0.42458644177748944
SlateStarCodex (Scott Alexander):
Regular Reader: 1137 0.36879662666234186
Sometimes: 264 0.08563087901394745
Rarely: 90 0.029192345118391177
Almost Never: 61 0.01978592280246513
Never: 51 0.016542328900421666
Never Heard Of It: 181 0.0587090496269867
None: 1299 0.421342847875446
Overcoming Bias (Robin Hanson):
Regular Reader: 207 0.0671423937722997
Sometimes: 365 0.11839117742458644
Rarely: 391 0.12682452156989946
Almost Never: 387 0.12552708400908205
Never: 240 0.07784625364904314
Never Heard Of It: 169 0.054816736944534546
None: 1324 0.42945183263055464
Minding Our Way (Nate Soares):
Regular Reader: 154 0.04995134609146935
Sometimes: 134 0.04346415828738242
Rarely: 139 0.045085955238404155
Almost Never: 175 0.056762893285760625
Never: 214 0.06941290950373014
Never Heard Of It: 922 0.2990593577684074
None: 1345 0.4362633798248459
Agenty Duck (Brienne Yudkowsky):
Regular Reader: 57 0.018488485241647746
Sometimes: 132 0.042815439506973724
Rarely: 144 0.04670775218942588
Almost Never: 213 0.06908855011352578
Never: 254 0.08238728511190399
Never Heard Of It: 935 0.3032760298410639
None: 1348 0.43723645799545896
Eliezer Yudkowsky's Facebook Page:
Regular Reader: 326 0.10574116120661693
Sometimes: 316 0.10249756730457346
Rarely: 231 0.07492701913720402
Almost Never: 268 0.08692831657476484
Never: 362 0.1174180992539734
Never Heard Of It: 254 0.08238728511190399
None: 1326 0.43010055141096337
Luke Muehlhauser (Eponymous):
Regular Reader: 60 0.019461563412260786
Sometimes: 107 0.03470645475186507
Rarely: 179 0.05806033084657801
Almost Never: 231 0.07492701913720402
Never: 312 0.10120012974375608
Never Heard Of It: 839 0.27213752838144667
None: 1355 0.4395069737268894
Gwern.net (Gwern Branwen):
Regular Reader: 118 0.038274408044112876
Sometimes: 282 0.09146934803762569
Rarely: 293 0.0950373013298735
Almost Never: 224 0.07265650340577359
Never: 230 0.07460265974699967
Never Heard Of It: 599 0.1942912747324035
None: 1337 0.43366850470321117
Siderea (Sibylla Bostoniensis):
Regular Reader: 31 0.010055141096334739
Sometimes: 49 0.015893610120012974
Rarely: 59 0.019137204022056438
Almost Never: 104 0.03373337658125203
Never: 183 0.05935776840739539
Never Heard Of It: 1304 0.42296464482646773
None: 1353 0.4388582549464807
BlogsRead2:
Ribbon Farm (Venkatesh Rao):
Regular Reader: 65 0.021083360363282518
Sometimes: 123 0.03989620499513461
Rarely: 111 0.03600389231268245
Almost Never: 151 0.04897826792085631
Never: 150 0.04865390853065196
Never Heard Of It: 1120 0.363282517028868
None: 1363 0.44210184884852416
Bayesed And Confused (Michael Rupert):
Regular Reader: 2 0.0006487187804086928
Sometimes: 10 0.003243593902043464
Rarely: 24 0.007784625364904314
Almost Never: 68 0.022056438533895557
Never: 167 0.05416801816412585
Never Heard Of It: 1440 0.46707752189425883
None: 1372 0.4450210833603633
The Unit Of Caring (Anonymous):
Regular Reader: 284 0.09211806681803439
Sometimes: 132 0.042815439506973724
Rarely: 127 0.041193642555951995
Almost Never: 179 0.05806033084657801
Never: 216 0.07006162828413882
Never Heard Of It: 776 0.25170288679857283
None: 1369 0.44404800518975024
GiveWell Blog (Multiple Authors):
Regular Reader: 76 0.02465131365553033
Sometimes: 197 0.06389879987025625
Rarely: 244 0.07914369120986052
Almost Never: 281 0.09114498864742135
Never: 414 0.1342847875445994
Never Heard Of It: 483 0.15666558546869933
None: 1387 0.4498864742134285
Thing Of Things (Ozy Frantz):
Regular Reader: 367 0.11903989620499514
Sometimes: 201 0.06519623743107363
Rarely: 143 0.04638339279922154
Almost Never: 172 0.055789815115147585
Never: 177 0.057411612066169314
Never Heard Of It: 661 0.21440155692507298
None: 1362 0.4417774894583198
The Last Psychiatrist (Anonymous):
Regular Reader: 103 0.033409017191047684
Sometimes: 94 0.030489782679208564
Rarely: 167 0.05416801816412585
Almost Never: 222 0.0720077846253649
Never: 302 0.09795653584171261
Never Heard Of It: 828 0.2685695750891988
None: 1367 0.44339928640934156
Hotel Concierge (Anonymous):
Regular Reader: 31 0.010055141096334739
Sometimes: 36 0.01167693804735647
Rarely: 49 0.015893610120012974
Almost Never: 88 0.028543626337982485
Never: 179 0.05806033084657801
Never Heard Of It: 1318 0.42750567628932856
None: 1382 0.44826467726240676
The View From Hell (Sister Y):
Regular Reader: 35 0.011352578657152125
Sometimes: 39 0.01265001621796951
Rarely: 76 0.02465131365553033
Almost Never: 137 0.04443723645799546
Never: 250 0.0810898475510866
Never Heard Of It: 1171 0.37982484592928967
None: 1375 0.4459941615309763
Xenosystems (Nick Land):
Regular Reader: 53 0.01719104768083036
Sometimes: 32 0.010379500486539085
Rarely: 64 0.02075900097307817
Almost Never: 175 0.056762893285760625
Never: 366 0.11871553681479079
Never Heard Of It: 1009 0.3272786247161855
None: 1384 0.44891339604281544
Are there any noteworthy blogs you read that we missed above?:
Have You Read These Stories?:
Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality (Eliezer Yudkowsky):
Whole Thing: 1105 0.3584171261758028
Partially And Intend To Finish: 146 0.04735647096983458
Partially And Abandoned: 231 0.07492701913720402
Never: 223 0.07233214401556926
Never Heard Of It: 82 0.026597469996756405
None: 1296 0.420369769704833
Significant Digits (Alexander D):
Whole Thing: 123 0.03989620499513461
Partially And Intend To Finish: 105 0.03405773597145637
Partially And Abandoned: 91 0.029516704508595525
Never: 333 0.10801167693804736
Never Heard Of It: 1083 0.35128121959130715
None: 1348 0.43723645799545896
Three Worlds Collide (Eliezer Yudkowsky):
Whole Thing: 891 0.28900421667207266
Partially And Intend To Finish: 35 0.011352578657152125
Partially And Abandoned: 36 0.01167693804735647
Never: 287 0.09309114498864741
Never Heard Of It: 492 0.15958481998053844
None: 1342 0.4352903016542329
The Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant (Nick Bostrom):
Whole Thing: 729 0.23645799545896853
Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 0.010055141096334739
Partially And Abandoned: 15 0.004865390853065196
Never: 205 0.06649367499189102
Never Heard Of It: 762 0.24716185533571197
None: 1341 0.43496594226402857
The World of Null-A (A. E. van Vogt):
Whole Thing: 93 0.030165423289004217
Partially And Intend To Finish: 18 0.005838469023678235
Partially And Abandoned: 25 0.008108984755108661
Never: 430 0.13947453778786895
Never Heard Of It: 1163 0.37722997080765486
None: 1354 0.43918261433668504
Synthesis (Sharon Mitchell):
Whole Thing: 7 0.0022705157314304248
Partially And Intend To Finish: 2 0.0006487187804086928
Partially And Abandoned: 8 0.0025948751216347712
Never: 217 0.07038598767434318
Never Heard Of It: 1474 0.47810574116120663
None: 1375 0.4459941615309763
Worm (Wildbow):
Whole Thing: 502 0.1628284138825819
Partially And Intend To Finish: 168 0.054492377554330194
Partially And Abandoned: 185 0.06000648718780409
Never: 431 0.1397988971780733
Never Heard Of It: 457 0.1482322413233863
None: 1340 0.4346415828738242
Pact (Wildbow):
Whole Thing: 138 0.0447615958481998
Partially And Intend To Finish: 59 0.019137204022056438
Partially And Abandoned: 148 0.04800518975024327
Never: 501 0.16250405449237756
Never Heard Of It: 887 0.28770677911125525
None: 1350 0.43788517677586763
Twig (Wildbow):
Whole Thing: 55 0.017839766461239054
Partially And Intend To Finish: 132 0.042815439506973724
Partially And Abandoned: 66 0.021407719753486862
Never: 560 0.181641258514434
Never Heard Of It: 916 0.29711320142718134
None: 1354 0.43918261433668504
StoriesRead2:
Ra (Sam Hughes):
Whole Thing: 269 0.08725267596496919
Partially And Intend To Finish: 81 0.02627311060655206
Partially And Abandoned: 95 0.03081414206941291
Never: 314 0.10184884852416477
Never Heard Of It: 976 0.3165747648394421
None: 1348 0.43723645799545896
My Little Pony: Friendship Is Optimal (Iceman):
Whole Thing: 424 0.13752838144664287
Partially And Intend To Finish: 17 0.005514109633473889
Partially And Abandoned: 65 0.021083360363282518
Never: 559 0.18131689912422966
Never Heard Of It: 672 0.21796951021732078
None: 1346 0.4365877392150503
Friendship Is Optimal: Caelum Est Conterrens (Chatoyance):
Whole Thing: 217 0.07038598767434318
Partially And Intend To Finish: 17 0.005514109633473889
Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.007784625364904314
Never: 411 0.13331170937398637
Never Heard Of It: 1045 0.338955562763542
None: 1369 0.44404800518975024
Ender's Game (Orson Scott Card):
Whole Thing: 1182 0.38339279922153746
Partially And Intend To Finish: 23 0.007460265974699967
Partially And Abandoned: 43 0.013947453778786896
Never: 395 0.12812195913071683
Never Heard Of It: 115 0.037301329873499836
None: 1325 0.429776192020759
The Diamond Age (Neal Stephenson):
Whole Thing: 443 0.14369120986052547
Partially And Intend To Finish: 37 0.012001297437560817
Partially And Abandoned: 56 0.018164125851443398
Never: 577 0.18715536814790787
Never Heard Of It: 629 0.20402205643853388
None: 1341 0.43496594226402857
Consider Phlebas (Iain Banks):
Whole Thing: 304 0.09860525462212132
Partially And Intend To Finish: 52 0.016866688290626014
Partially And Abandoned: 47 0.015244891339604282
Never: 441 0.14304249108011677
Never Heard Of It: 886 0.28738241972105094
None: 1353 0.4388582549464807
The Metamorphosis Of Prime Intellect (Roger Williams):
Whole Thing: 226 0.0733052221861823
Partially And Intend To Finish: 11 0.0035679532922478106
Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.007784625364904314
Never: 322 0.10444372364579954
Never Heard Of It: 1131 0.3668504703211158
None: 1369 0.44404800518975024
Accelerando (Charles Stross):
Whole Thing: 294 0.09536166072007785
Partially And Intend To Finish: 46 0.014920531949399934
Partially And Abandoned: 66 0.021407719753486862
Never: 427 0.1385014596172559
Never Heard Of It: 892 0.289328576062277
None: 1358 0.44048005189750244
A Fire Upon The Deep (Vernor Vinge):
Whole Thing: 348 0.11287706779111255
Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 0.010055141096334739
Partially And Abandoned: 41 0.013298734998378203
Never: 509 0.16509892961401232
Never Heard Of It: 813 0.2637041842361336
None: 1341 0.43496594226402857
Machine Intelligence Research Institute
Do you know what the Machine Intelligence Research Institute is?:
Yes: 1547 0.502
No but I've heard of it: 175 0.057
No: 93 0.03
None: 1268 0.411
Have you ever read a paper from the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?:
Yes: 467 0.151
Partially: 500 0.162
No: 846 0.274
None: 1270 0.412
Would you consider working for the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?:
Yes: 974 0.316
No: 805 0.261
N/A: 1304 0.423
Do you think you're trustworthy enough not to let an AI out of the box?:
Yes: 474 0.154
No: 1248 0.405
N/A: 1361 0.441
Have you ever practiced not letting an AI out of the box?:
Yes with Eliezer's Ruleset: 20 0.006
Yes with Tuxedage's Ruleset: 6 0.002
Yes with a different ruleset: 19 0.006
No but I've been the AI: 40 0.013
No: 1692 0.549
None: 1306 0.424
On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "MIRI's mission of doing mathematical research relevant to friendly self-improving artificial intelligence is very important.":
On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "Whether or not I agree with MIRI's goals, I believe MIRI is a well-run organization that pursues its goals effectively.":
Center For Applied Rationality (Bonus Section)
Do you know what the Center For Applied Rationality is?:
Yes: 1289 0.418
No but I've heard of it: 288 0.093
No: 178 0.058
None: 1328 0.431
Have you attended CFAR?:
No, and I don't plan to: 852 0.276
No, and I would like to: 733 0.238
I have attended a paid or volunteer program with CFAR: 109 0.035
I have led a program at CFAR: 8 0.003
None: 1381 0.448
Think about your current set of skills, your habits, the things you spend your time on, how you interact with other people, the intellectual questions that you find engaging, the goals you’re aiming towards, and the challenges that you’re currently facing going forward. Next, think about how you were one year ago on each of these dimensions. How different are you now from how you were one year ago?:
Not at all different: 107 0.035
Slightly different: 567 0.184
Somewhat different: 677 0.22
Very different: 316 0.102
Extremely different : 0 0.0
None: 1351 0.438
(optional) In about one sentence, what is one difference that stands out as being particularly large or significant?:
(Optional) Can you think of any changes that you’ve made in the past month to your daily routines or habits in order to make things go better? These can be tiny changes (e.g., adjusted the curtains on my bedroom window so that less light comes in while I’m sleeping) or large ones. Spend about 60 seconds recalling as many examples of these kinds of changes as you can and listing them here. (If you want to skip this question, leave it blank. If you spend the 60 seconds and no specific examples come to mind, write "none."):
What's your overall opinion of the Center For Applied Rationality?
: Positive: 377 0.122 Mostly Positive: 414 0.134 No strong opinion: 802 0.26 Mostly Negative: 63 0.02 Negative: 16 0.005 None: 1411 0.458 Effective Altruism (Bonus Section) Do you know what Effective Altruism is?: Yes: 1567 0.508 No but I've heard of it: 115 0.037 No: 74 0.024 None: 1327 0.43 Do you self-identify as an Effective Altruist?: Yes: 667 0.216 No: 1034 0.335 N/A: 1382 0.448 Do you participate in the Effective Altruism community?: Yes: 315 0.102 No: 1395 0.452 N/A: 1373 0.445 Has Effective Altruism caused you to make donations you otherwise wouldn't?: Yes: 667 0.216 No: 1035 0.336 N/A: 1381 0.448 Have you ever had any kind of moral anxiety over Effective Altruism?: Yes: 504 0.163 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 184 0.06 No: 1011 0.328 None: 1384 0.449 What's your overall opinion of Effective Altruism?: Positive: 813 0.264 Mostly Positive: 536 0.174 No strong opinion: 258 0.084 Mostly Negative: 76 0.025 Negative: 24 0.008 None: 1376 0.446 Politics (Bonus Section) With which of these political positions do you most identify?: Progressive: 217 0.07 Communist: 13 0.004 Socialist: 126 0.041 Conservative: 38 0.012 Fascist: 5 0.002 Neoreactionary: 28 0.009 Social Democrat: 237 0.077 Moderate: 67 0.022 Pragmatist: 131 0.042 Anarchist: 50 0.016 Libertarian: 190 0.062 Left-Libertarian: 245 0.079 Objectivist: 10 0.003 Monarchist: 5 0.002 Futarchist: 31 0.01 Totalitarian: 2 0.001 Other: 126 0.04086928316574765 None: 1556 0.505 Did you vote in your country's last major national election?: Yes: 1155 0.375 No: 513 0.166 My country does not hold elections: 8 0.003 None: 1407 0.456 If you are an American, what party are you registered with?: Democratic Party: 362 0.117 Republican Party: 72 0.023 Libertarian Party: 26 0.008 Other third party: 16 0.005 Not registered for a party: 452 0.147 (option for non-Americans who want an option): 542 0.176 None: 1613 0.523 On a scale from 1 (not interested at all) to 5 (extremely interested), how would you describe your level of interest in politics?: How would you describe your opinion on abortion laws?: Abortion: Pro-Life: 104 0.03373337658125203 Lean Pro-Life: 97 0.031462860849821604 No strong opinion: 77 0.024975673045734673 Lean Pro-Choice: 265 0.0859552384041518 Pro-Choice: 1158 0.37560817385663314 None: 1382 0.44826467726240676 How would you describe your opinion on immigration?: Immigration: Should be more open: 671 0.21764515082711644 Lean more open: 508 0.16477457022380798 No strong opinion: 264 0.08563087901394745 Lean more restricted: 140 0.0454103146286085 Should be more restricted: 107 0.03470645475186507 None: 1393 0.45183263055465456 How would you describe your opinion on taxes in your country?: Taxes: Should be lower: 225 0.07298086279597794 Lean towards lower: 237 0.0768731754784301 No strong opinion: 546 0.17710022705157313 Lean towards higher: 417 0.13525786571521245 Should be higher: 264 0.08563087901394745 None: 1394 0.4521569899448589 How would you describe your opinion on minimum wage laws in your country?: Minimum Wage: Should be lower or eliminated: 288 0.09341550437885177 Lean towards lower or eliminated: 202 0.06552059682127798 No strong opinion: 510 0.16542328900421668 Lean towards higher: 385 0.12487836522867338 Should be higher: 295 0.0956860201102822 None: 1403 0.45507622445669804 How would you describe your opinion of feminism, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feminism for more information: Feminism: Very unfavorable: 151 0.04897826792085631 Unfavorable: 250 0.0810898475510866 No strong opinion: 252 0.0817385663314953 Favorable: 612 0.19850794680506 Very favorable: 417 0.13525786571521245 None: 1401 0.4544275056762893 How would you describe your opinion of social justice, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_justice for more information: Social Justice: Very unfavorable: 341 0.11060655205968213 Unfavorable: 372 0.12066169315601687 No strong opinion: 290 0.09406422315926045 Favorable: 462 0.14985403827440805 Very favorable: 209 0.06779111255270841 None: 1409 0.4570223807979241 How would you describe your opinion of the idea of "human biodiversity", as you understand the term? No Wiki page available, but essentially it is the belief that there are important genetic differences between human populations and that therefore ideas generally considered racist, such as different races having different average intelligence or personality traits, are in fact scientifically justified: Human Biodiversity: Very unfavorable: 231 0.07492701913720402 Unfavorable: 384 0.12455400583846903 No strong opinion: 517 0.1676938047356471 Favorable: 399 0.1294193966915342 Very favorable: 129 0.04184236133636069 None: 1423 0.46156341226078496 How would you describe your opinion of a Basic Income Guarantee in your country? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_Income_Guarantee for more information.: Basic Income: Strongly oppose: 64 0.02075900097307817 Oppose: 110 0.03567953292247811 No strong opinion: 261 0.08465780084333442 Support: 626 0.20304897826792084 Strongly support: 621 0.20142718131689913 None: 1401 0.4544275056762893 Do you believe we are currently in or entering a "Great Stagnation", as proposed by Tyler Cowen and Peter Thiel, during which technological growth slows drastically? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Stagnation for more information: Great Stagnation: Strongly doubt: 270 0.08757703535517353 Doubt: 637 0.20661693156016867 No strong opinion: 555 0.18001946156341225 Believe: 157 0.050924424262082386 Strongly believe: 29 0.009406422315926047 None: 1435 0.4654557249432371 Calibration Questions Do you understand the instructions above?: Yes, I understand I should answer in percentages between 0 and 100: 1646 0.534 No, I don't read instructions and am going to ruin the survey results for everyone: 43 0.014 None: 1394 0.452 CalibrationQuestions: Probabilities ProbabilityQuestions: : Please give the obvious answer to this question, so I can automatically throw away all surveys that don't follow the rules: What is the probability of a fair coin coming up heads? : Sum: 80213.9989998995 Mean: 49.82235962726677 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that the Many Worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics is more or less correct?: Sum: 57876.2765532333 Mean: 44.588810903877736 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that non-human, non-Earthly intelligent life exists in the observable universe?: Sum: 109378.29058157398 Mean: 75.74673862989889 Median: 90.0 Mode: 99.0 ...in the Milky Way galaxy?: Sum: 64163.32026926869 Mean: 46.66423292310451 Median: 50.0 Mode: 10.0 What is the probability that supernatural events (including God, ghosts, magic, etc) have occurred since the beginning of the universe?: Sum: 12624.714712170931 Mean: 13.574962056097743 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that there is a god, defined as a supernatural intelligent entity who created the universe?: Sum: 15535.557953131427 Mean: 15.458266620031244 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that any of humankind's revealed religions is more or less correct?: Sum: 8578.60633673673 Mean: 10.603963333419902 Median: 0.5 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that an average person cryonically frozen today will be successfully restored to life at some future time, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization before then?: Sum: 29494.64525290689 Mean: 21.24974441852082 Median: 10.0 Mode: 5.0 What is the probability that at least one person living at this moment will reach an age of one thousand years, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization in that time?: Sum: 34398.58545244187 Mean: 25.25593645553737 Median: 10.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that our universe is a simulation?: Sum: 30459.535304433874 Mean: 25.235737617592296 Median: 10.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that significant global warming is occurring or will soon occur, and is primarily caused by human actions?: Sum: 122103.09299969983 Mean: 83.34682116020471 Median: 90.0 Mode: 90.0 What is the probability that the human race will make it to 2100 without any catastrophe that wipes out more than 90% of humanity?: Sum: 111393.97345414276 Mean: 76.29724209187863 Median: 80.0 Mode: 80.0 Futurology Cryonics (Section Header): Are you signed up for cryonics?: Yes - signed up or just finishing up paperwork: 48 0.016 No - would like to sign up but unavailable in my area: 104 0.034 No - would like to sign up but haven't gotten around to it: 181 0.059 No - would like to sign up but can't afford it: 230 0.075 No - still considering it: 557 0.181 No - and do not want to sign up for cryonics: 472 0.153 Never thought about it / don't understand: 68 0.022 None: 1423 0.462 Do you think cryonics, as currently practiced by Alcor/Cryonics Institute will work?: Yes: 106 0.034 Maybe: 1043 0.338 No: 473 0.153 None: 1461 0.474 Do you think cryonics works in principle?: Yes: 804 0.261 Maybe: 703 0.228 No: 127 0.041 None: 1449 0.47 Singularity (Section Header): By what year do you think the Singularity will occur? Answer such that you think, conditional on the Singularity occurring, there is an even chance of the Singularity falling before or after this year. If you think a singularity is so unlikely you don't even want to condition on it, leave this question blank.: Sum: 1.0000000000590109e+20 Mean: 8.090614887208986e+16 Median: 2080.0 Mode: 2100.0 Have you ever made any kind of personal health change with the goal of living to see the singularity? (If multiple please separate with commas.): Superbabies (Section Header): Would you ever consider having your child genetically modified for any reason?: Yes: 1557 0.505 No: 67 0.022 N/A: 1459 0.473 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified to prevent them from getting an inheritable disease?: Yes: 1391 0.451 Depends on the disease: 209 0.068 No: 28 0.009 None: 1455 0.472 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for improvement purposes? (eg. To heighten their intelligence or reduce their risk of schizophrenia.): Yes : 0 0.0 Maybe a little: 177 0.057 Depends on the strength of the improvements: 264 0.086 No: 84 0.027 None: 1458 0.473 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for cosmetic reasons? (eg. To make them taller or have a certain eye color.): Yes: 500 0.162 Maybe a little: 382 0.124 Depends on the strength of the improvements: 280 0.091 No: 457 0.148 None: 1464 0.475 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for disease prevention purposes?: Positive: 1181 0.383 Mostly Positive: 312 0.101 No strong opinion: 112 0.036 Mostly Negative: 29 0.009 Negative: 13 0.004 None: 1436 0.466 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for improvement purposes?: Positive: 740 0.24 Mostly Positive: 483 0.157 No strong opinion: 273 0.089 Mostly Negative: 112 0.036 Negative: 39 0.013 None: 1436 0.466 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for cosmetic reasons?: Positive: 292 0.095 Mostly Positive: 292 0.095 No strong opinion: 576 0.187 Mostly Negative: 331 0.107 Negative: 157 0.051 None: 1435 0.465 Technological Unemployment (Futurology Part 2) Do you think the Luddite's Fallacy is an actual fallacy?: Yes: 444 0.144 No: 995 0.323 N/A: 1644 0.533 By what year do you think the majority of people in your country will have trouble finding employment for automation related reasons? If you think this is something that will never happen leave this question blank.: Sum: 2216340.0 Mean: 2102.789373814042 Median: 2050.0 Mode: 2050.0 Do you think the "end of work" would be a good thing?: Yes: 1243 0.403 No: 286 0.093 N/A: 1554 0.504 If machines end all or almost all employment, what are your biggest worries? Pick two.: People will just idle about in destructive ways: Yes: 515 0.1670450859552384 No: 1184 0.38404151800194614 N/A: 1384 0.44891339604281544 People need work to be fulfilled and if we eliminate work we'll all feel deep existential angst: Yes: 544 0.17645150827116446 No: 1155 0.3746350956860201 N/A: 1384 0.44891339604281544 The rich are going to take all the resources for themselves and leave the rest of us to starve or live in poverty: Yes: 1070 0.3470645475186507 No: 629 0.20402205643853388 N/A: 1384 0.44891339604281544 The machines won't need us, and we'll starve to death or be otherwise liquidated: Yes: 416 0.1349335063250081 No: 1283 0.41615309763217645 N/A: 1384 0.44891339604281544 Other: Yes: 0 0.0 No: 0 0.0 N/A: 0 0.0 The next question isn't exactly related to technological unemployment, but making a part three for one question seemed impractical.: Which disaster do you think is most likely to wipe out greater than 90% of humanity before the year 2100?: Nuclear war: 327 0.106 Asteroid strike: 64 0.021 Unfriendly AI: 272 0.088 Nanotech / grey goo: 18 0.006 Pandemic (natural): 121 0.039 Pandemic (bioengineered): 356 0.115 Environmental collapse (including global warming): 254 0.082 Economic / political collapse: 136 0.044 Other: 35 0.011352578657152125 None: 1498 0.486 Charity (Bonus Section) What is your approximate annual income in US dollars (non-Americans: convert at www.xe.com)? Obviously you don't need to answer this question if you don't want to. Please don't include commas or dollar signs.: Sum: 66114964.47384 Mean: 64439.536524210525 Median: 40000.0 Mode: 30000.0 How much money, in number of dollars, have you donated to charity over the past year? (non-Americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/ ). Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. For example, 4000: Sum: 2392840.6530000004 Mean: 2907.4613037667073 Median: 356.0 Mode: 100.0 How much money have you donated to charities aiming to reduce existential risk (other than MIRI/CFAR) in the past year?: Sum: 169700.89 Mean: 1973.2661627906978 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: Against Malaria Foundation: Sum: 483935.027 Mean: 1905.2560118110237 Median: 300.0 Mode: All values found equally likely. Schistosomiasis Control Initiative: Sum: 47908.0 Mean: 840.4912280701755 Median: 200.0 Mode: 1000.0 Deworm the World Initiative : Sum: 28820.0 Mean: 565.0980392156863 Median: 150.0 Mode: 500.0 GiveDirectly: Sum: 154410.177 Mean: 1429.723861111111 Median: 450.0 Mode: 50.0 Any kind of animal rights charity: Sum: 83130.47 Mean: 1093.8219736842104 Median: 154.235 Mode: 500.0 Any kind of bug rights charity: Sum: 1083.0 Mean: 270.75 Median: 157.5 Mode: All values found equally likely. Machine Intelligence Research Institute: Sum: 141792.5 Mean: 1417.925 Median: 100.0 Mode: 100.0 Any charity combating nuclear existential risk: Sum: 491.0 Mean: 81.83333333333333 Median: 75.0 Mode: 100.0 Any charity combating global warming: Sum: 13412.0 Mean: 248.37037037037038 Median: 100.0 Mode: 10.0 Center For Applied Rationality: Sum: 127101.0 Mean: 3177.525 Median: 150.0 Mode: 100.0 Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence Research Foundation: Sum: 9429.0 Mean: 554.6470588235294 Median: 100.0 Mode: 20.0 Wikipedia: Sum: 12965.5 Mean: 53.79875518672199 Median: 20.0 Mode: 10.0 Internet Archive: Sum: 2975.04 Mean: 80.40648648648649 Median: 30.0 Mode: 50.0 Any campaign for political office: Sum: 39333.99 Mean: 364.2036111111111 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 Other: Sum: 566590.46 Mean: 1656.6972514619881 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 Do you follow any dietary restrictions related to animal products?: Yes, I am vegan: 55 0.018 Yes, I am vegetarian: 158 0.051 Yes, I restrict meat some other way (pescetarian, flexitarian, try to only eat ethically sourced meat): 377 0.122 No: 999 0.324 None: 1494 0.485 Wrapping Up Have you taken a previous LessWrong Survey?: Yes: 772 0.25 No: 874 0.283 N/A: 1437 0.466 Would you like to be put on a mailing list to hear about future developments in revitalizing LessWrong or new 'rationalist' communities? If yes put in your email address below. (This is optional and will not be published in the public survey results.):