Privacy Can we include your survey data in a public dataset?: Yes: 2571 0.834 No: 113 0.037 N/A: 399 0.129 Do you consent to having your survey responses being used as part of a research paper?: Yes: 2576 0.836 No: 106 0.034 N/A: 401 0.13 Demographic Information Age: Sum: 66645.9 Mean: 28.108772669759592 Median: 26.0 Mode: 23.0 Sex - What sex were you assigned at birth?: Male: 2021 0.656 Female: 393 0.127 Other: 6 0.0019461563412260785 None: 662 0.215 Gender - With what gender do you primarily identify?: F (cisgender): 321 0.104 F (transgender MtF): 65 0.021 M (cisgender): 1829 0.593 M (transgender FtM): 23 0.007 Other: 156 0.05060006487187804 None: 677 0.22 Country - If multiple possible answers, please choose the one you most identify with. Twelve popular answers are given below; otherwise please write your country into "Other" in the same format as the answers given: United States: 1298 0.421 United Kingdom: 183 0.059 Canada: 144 0.047 Australia: 141 0.046 Germany: 85 0.028 Russia: 57 0.018 Finland: 25 0.008 New Zealand: 26 0.008 India: 24 0.008 Brazil: 16 0.005 France: 34 0.011 Israel: 29 0.009 Other: 354 0.11482322413233863 None: 666 0.216 Race - With what race do you most identify? "Hispanic" is a term mostly used in the US referring to people whose ethnic background is from Mexico, Central  America, and South America.: Asian (East Asian): 80 0.026 Asian (Indian subcontinent): 60 0.019 Middle Eastern: 14 0.005 Black: 12 0.004 White (non-Hispanic): 2059 0.668 Hispanic: 57 0.018 Other: 108 0.03503081414206941 None: 683 0.222 Sex, Relationships What is your sexual orientation?: Heterosexual: 1640 0.532 Homosexual: 103 0.033 Bisexual: 428 0.139 Other: 144 0.04670775218942588 None: 753 0.244 Are you asexual?: Yes: 171 0.055 No: 2129 0.691 N/A: 783 0.254 What is your preferred relationship style?: Prefer monogomous: 1190 0.386 Prefer polyamorous: 426 0.138 Uncertain/no preference: 673 0.218 Other: 45 0.014596172559195588 None: 747 0.242 Number of Partners: 0: 1094 0.355 1: 1039 0.337 2: 107 0.035 3: 46 0.015 4: 15 0.005 5: 8 0.003 Lots and lots: 29 0.009 None: 745 0.242 Relationship Goals: ...and seeking more relationship partners: 577 0.187 ...and possibly open to more relationship partners: 716 0.232 ...and currently not looking for more relationship partners: 1034 0.335 None: 756 0.245 Are you married?: Yes: 443 0.144 No: 1885 0.611 N/A: 755 0.245 Who do you currently live with most of the time?
: Alone: 487 0.158 With parents and/or guardians: 476 0.154 With partner and/or children: 687 0.223 With roommates: 619 0.201 Other: 69 0.0223807979240999 None: 743 0.241 How many children do you have?: 0: 2042 0.662 1: 115 0.037 2: 124 0.04 3: 48 0.016 4: 7 0.002 5: 6 0.002 6: 2 0.001 Lots and lots: 3 0.001 None: 736 0.239 Are you planning on having more children?: Yes: 720 0.234 Uncertain: 755 0.245 No: 869 0.282 None: 739 0.24 Employment, Occupation, Education What do you currently do?: Student: Yes: 968 0.3139798897178073 No: 1442 0.46772624067466756 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 Academics (on the teaching side): Yes: 205 0.06649367499189102 No: 2205 0.7152124554005839 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 Self-employed: Yes: 309 0.10022705157314304 No: 2101 0.6814790788193318 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 Independently wealthy: Yes: 42 0.013623094388582549 No: 2368 0.7680830360038923 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 Non-profit work: Yes: 152 0.04930262731106066 No: 2258 0.7324035030814142 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 For-profit work: Yes: 954 0.3094388582549465 No: 1456 0.4722672721375284 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 Government work: Yes: 135 0.043788517677586763 No: 2275 0.7379176127148881 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 Homemaker: Yes: 47 0.015244891339604282 No: 2363 0.7664612390528706 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 Unemployed : Yes: 228 0.07395394096659098 No: 2182 0.7077521894258839 N/A: 673 0.21829386960752514 In what area do you currently work or study?: Philosophy: 54 0.018 Finance / Economics: 116 0.038 Statistics: 44 0.014 Computers (AI): 79 0.026 Computers (other academic, computer science): 156 0.051 Computers (practical: IT, programming, etc.): 681 0.221 Physics: 91 0.03 Biology: 49 0.016 Medicine: 49 0.016 Mathematics: 147 0.048 Neuroscience: 28 0.009 Other "hard science": 26 0.008 Psychology: 48 0.016 Other "social science": 48 0.016 Engineering: 150 0.049 Business: 72 0.023 Law: 50 0.016 Art: 51 0.017 Other: 277 0.08984755108660396 None: 849 0.275 What is your highest education credential earned?: None: 96 0.031 High School: 617 0.2 2 year degree: 105 0.034 Bachelor's: 815 0.264 Master's: 415 0.135 JD/MD/other professional degree: 66 0.021 PhD: 145 0.047 Other: 39 0.01265001621796951 None: 773 0.251 IQ And Other Numbers That Purport To Measure Your Intelligence (Bonus Section) IQ - Please give the score you got on your most recent PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC IQ test - no Internet tests, please! All tests should have the standard average of  100 and stdev of 15.: Sum: 90972.48999999999 Mean: 138.466499238965 Median: 138.0 Mode: 135.0 IQ Age - At what age, in years, did you take the IQ test above?: Sum: 21626.0 Mean: 32.916286149162865 Median: 17.0 Mode: 16.0 IQ Type - Please give a short  description of the IQ test you took, for example "It was Wechsler Adult  Intelligence Scale administered at my school". If you don't remember or  don't know how to describe the test, leave this blank.: SAT scores out of 1600 - American students take the SATs before going to college. In olden days, the test was scored out of 1600. if you have an SAT score out of 1600, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 635725.0 Mean: 1458.084862385321 Median: 1490.0 Mode: 1600.0 SAT scores out of 2400 - American students take the SATs before going to college. Nowadays, the test is scored out of 2400. If you have an SAT score out of 2400, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 1068102.0 Mean: 2206.8223140495866 Median: 2240.0 Mode: 2340.0 ACT score out of 36 - Some American students take the ACTs before going to college. If you have an ACT score out of 36, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 12379.0 Mean: 32.40575916230367 Median: 33.0 Mode: 35.0 Politics, Religion, Ethics Given that no label can completely describe a person's political views, with which of these labels do you MOST identify?: Libertarian, for example like the US Libertarian Party: socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no distribution of wealth: 519 0.168 Conservative, for example the US Republican Party and UK Tories: traditional values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth: 115 0.037 Liberal, for example the US Democratic Party or the UK Labour Party: socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth: 614 0.199 Social democratic, for example Scandinavian countries: socially permissive, high taxes, major redistribution of wealth: 786 0.255 Communist, for example the old Soviet Union: complete state control of many facets of life: 30 0.01 None: 1019 0.331 How would you describe your religious views?: Committed theist: 115 0.037 Lukewarm theist: 80 0.026 Deist/Pantheist/etc.: 57 0.018 Agnostic: 250 0.081 Atheist but spiritual: 170 0.055 Atheist and not spiritual: 1491 0.484 None: 920 0.298 Which best describes the religion you believe?: Christian (Catholic): 72 0.023 Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 19 0.006 Christian (Protestant): 99 0.032 Christian (Mormon): 8 0.003 Hindu: 11 0.004 Buddhist: 39 0.013 Traditional Chinese: 2 0.001 Muslim: 5 0.002 Unitarian Universalism or similar: 26 0.008 Jewish: 57 0.018 Mixed/Other: 49 0.016 Other: 69 0.0223807979240999 None: 2596 0.842 How would you describe the religious views of your family when you were growing up?: Committed theist: 551 0.179 Lukewarm theist: 716 0.232 Deist/Pantheist/etc: 44 0.014 Agnostic: 247 0.08 Atheist but spiritual: 114 0.037 Atheist and not spiritual: 346 0.112 Mixed / Other: 100 0.032 Other: 42 0.013623094388582549 None: 922 0.299 What is your family's religious background, as of the last time your family practiced a religion?: Christian (Catholic): 589 0.191 Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 159 0.052 Christian (Protestant): 776 0.252 Christian (Mormon): 37 0.012 Hindu: 42 0.014 Buddhist: 17 0.006 Traditional Chinese: 19 0.006 Muslim: 15 0.005 Unitarian Universalism or similar: 45 0.015 Jewish: 207 0.067 Mixed/Other: 96 0.031 Other: 94 0.030489782679208564 None: 984 0.319 With which of these meta-ethical views do you MOST identify? (Bonus Question): Non-cognitivism: Moral statements don't express propositions and can neither be true nor false. "Murder is wrong" means something like "Boo murder!".: 187 0.061 Error theory: Moral statements have a truth-value, but attempt to describe features of the world that don't exist. "Murder is wrong" and "Murder is right" are both false statements because moral rightness and wrongness aren't features that exist.: 100 0.032 Subjectivism: Some moral statements are true, but not universally, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by non-universal opinions or prescriptions, and there is no non-attitudinal determinant of rightness and wrongness. "Murder is wrong" means something like "My culture has judged murder to be wrong" or "I've judged murder to be wrong".: 555 0.18 Substantive realism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by mind-independent moral properties. "Murder is wrong" means that murder has an objective mind-independent property of wrongness that we discover by empirical investigation, intuition, or some other method.: 347 0.113 Constructivism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by whether an agent would accept it if they were undergoing a process of rational deliberation. "Murder is wrong" can mean something like "Societal agreement to the rule 'do not murder' is instrumentally rational".: 781 0.253 None: 1113 0.361 Experience With LessWrong How Did You Find LessWrong?: Been here since it was started in the Overcoming Bias days: 171 0.055 Referred by a link: 276 0.09 HPMOR: 542 0.176 Overcoming Bias: 81 0.026 Referred by a friend: 265 0.086 Referred by a search engine: 131 0.042 Referred by other fiction: 14 0.005 Slate Star Codex: 243 0.079 Reddit: 57 0.018 Common Sense Atheism: 19 0.006 Hacker News: 48 0.016 Gwern: 23 0.007 Other: 193 0.06260136230943886 None: 1021 0.331 How do you use Less Wrong?: I lurk, but never registered an account: 1125 0.365 I've registered an account, but never posted: 271 0.088 I've posted a comment, but never a top-level post: 419 0.136 I've posted in Discussion, but not Main: 179 0.058 I've posted in Main: 73 0.024 None: 1016 0.33 How often do you comment on LessWrong?: I have commented more than once a week for the past year.: 26 0.008 I have commented more than once a month for the past year but less than once a week.: 63 0.02 I have commented but less than once a month for the past year.: 226 0.073 I have not commented this year.: 1725 0.56 None: 1043 0.338 How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?: How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?: I wrote one today.: 14 0.005 Within the last three days.: 14 0.005 Within the last week.: 22 0.007 Within the last month.: 58 0.019 Within the last three months.: 76 0.025 Within the last six months.: 68 0.022 Within the last year.: 84 0.027 Within the last five years.: 295 0.096 Longer than five years.: 15 0.005 I've never posted on LW.: 1247 0.404 None: 1190 0.386  About how much of  the Sequences - the collection of Eliezer Yudkowsky's original posts -  have you read? You can find a list of them here.: Never knew they existed until this moment: 217 0.07 Knew they existed, but never looked at them: 103 0.033 Some, but less than 25%: 442 0.143 About 25%: 260 0.084 About 50%: 284 0.092 About 75%: 299 0.097 All or almost all: 491 0.159 None: 987 0.32 Do you attend Less Wrong meetups?: Yes, regularly: 160 0.052 Yes, once or a few times: 407 0.132 No: 1524 0.494 None: 992 0.322 Is physical interaction with the Less Wrong community otherwise a part of your everyday life, for example do you live with other Less Wrongers, or you are close friends and frequently go out with them?: Yes, all the time: 161 0.052 Yes, sometimes: 258 0.084 No: 1659 0.538 None: 1005 0.326 Have you ever been in a romantic relationship with someone you met through the Less Wrong community?: Yes: 132 0.043 I didn’t meet them through the community but they’re part of the community now: 102 0.033 No: 1858 0.603 None: 991 0.321 Roko's Basilisk (Bonus Section) Do you know what Roko's Basilisk thought experiment is?: Yes: 1521 0.493 No but I've heard of it: 158 0.051 No: 398 0.129 None: 1006 0.326 Where did you read Roko's argument for the Basilisk?: Roko's post on LessWrong: 323 0.105 Reddit: 171 0.055 XKCD: 61 0.02 LessWrong Wiki: 234 0.076 A news article: 71 0.023 Word of mouth: 222 0.072 RationalWiki: 314 0.102 Other: 194 0.06292572169964321 None: 1485 0.482 Do you think Roko's argument for the Basilisk is correct?: Yes: 75 0.024 Yes but I don't think it's logical conclusions apply for other reasons: 339 0.11 No: 1055 0.342 None: 1614 0.524 Do you think Basilisk-like thought experiments are dangerous?: Yes, I think they're dangerous for decision theory reasons: 63 0.02 Yes I think they're dangerous for social reasons (eg. A cult might use them): 194 0.063 Yes I think they're dangerous for decision theory and social reasons: 136 0.044 Yes I think they're socially dangerous because they make everybody involved look foolish: 253 0.082 Yes I think they're dangerous for other reasons: 54 0.018 No: 809 0.262 None: 1569 0.509 Have you ever felt any sort of anxiety about the Basilisk?: Yes: 142 0.046 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 189 0.061 No: 1275 0.414 None: 1477 0.479 What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?: What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?: I haven't: 714 0.232 A few seconds: 237 0.077 A minute: 298 0.097 An hour: 176 0.057 A day: 40 0.013 Two days: 16 0.005 Three days: 12 0.004 A week: 12 0.004 A month: 5 0.002 One to three months: 2 0.001 Three to six months: 0 0.0 Six to nine months: 0 0.0 Nine months to a year: 1 0.0 Over a year: 1 0.0 Years: 4 0.001 None: 1565 0.508 Are you currently worrying about the Basilisk?: Yes: 29 0.009 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 60 0.019 No: 1522 0.494 None: 1472 0.477 Mental Health (Bonus Section) Have you ever been diagnosed with depression?: No: 0 0.0 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 0 0.0 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 0 0.0 None: 1042 0.338 Have you ever been diagnosed with obsessive compulsive disorder?: No: 1858 0.603 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 114 0.037 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 54 0.018 None: 1057 0.343 Have you ever been diagnosed with any autism spectrum disorder?: No: 1602 0.52 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 261 0.085 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 166 0.054 None: 1054 0.342 Have you ever been diagnosed with any variant of attention deficit disorder?: No: 1544 0.501 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 212 0.069 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 277 0.09 None: 1050 0.341 Have you ever been diagnosed with bipolar disorder?: No: 1923 0.624 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 56 0.018 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 45 0.015 None: 1059 0.343 Have you ever been  diagnosed with any anxiety disorder, eg panic disorder, generalized  anxiety disorder, social anxiety disorder?: No: 1399 0.454 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 354 0.115 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 278 0.09 None: 1052 0.341 Have you ever been diagnosed with borderline personality disorder?: No: 1985 0.644 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 24 0.008 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 13 0.004 None: 1061 0.344 Have you ever been diagnosed with schizophrenia?: No: 2006 0.651 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 8 0.003 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 16 0.005 None: 1053 0.342 Have you ever been diagnosed with substance use disorder?: No: 1930 0.626 Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 73 0.024 Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 26 0.008 None: 1054 0.342 Have you ever wondered whether you might have a substance abuse problem?: Yes: 313 0.102 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 198 0.064 No: 1522 0.494 None: 1050 0.341 Have your friends and family ever expressed concern that you are abusing substances?: Yes: 157 0.051 Yes but only because they worry about everything: 113 0.037 Yes but only because they're suspicious of pharmaceutical medication: 51 0.017 No: 1715 0.556 None: 1047 0.34 What were the biggest problems with LessWrong at its peak? Philosophical Issues: Over Reliance On The Sequences.: Yes: 345 0.11190398962049951 No: 1728 0.5604930262731106 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Focus On AI.: Yes: 259 0.08400908206292572 No: 1814 0.5883879338306844 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Focus On Cryonics.: Yes: 256 0.08303600389231268 No: 1817 0.5893610120012974 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Criticism Of The Scientific Method.: Yes: 122 0.03957184560493026 No: 1951 0.6328251702886799 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Too Much Jargon.: Yes: 485 0.157314304249108 No: 1588 0.5150827116445021 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Too Focused On Abstract Junk.: Yes: 246 0.07979240999026922 No: 1827 0.5926046059033409 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. : Yes: 922 0.2990593577684074 No: 1151 0.3733376581252027 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 [Write in below]: Yes: 199 0.06454751865066494 No: 1874 0.6078494972429452 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 [Write in below]: Yes: 39 0.01265001621796951 No: 2034 0.6597469996756407 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Write in one:: Write in two:: Community Issues: Not Enough In Person Interaction.: Yes: 164 0.05319493999351281 No: 1909 0.6192020759000973 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Overly High Standards For Content Submission.: Yes: 198 0.06422315926046059 No: 1875 0.6081738566331495 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Failure to cite sources.: Yes: 159 0.05157314304249108 No: 1914 0.6208238728511191 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest.: Yes: 161 0.05222186182289977 No: 1912 0.6201751540707103 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Lame Forum Software.: Yes: 218 0.07071034706454751 No: 1855 0.6016866688290626 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Too Autistic.: Yes: 115 0.037301329873499836 No: 1958 0.6350956860201102 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks.: Yes: 148 0.04800518975024327 No: 1925 0.6243918261433669 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Too Tolerant Of Laziness.: Yes: 65 0.021083360363282518 No: 2008 0.6513136555303276 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Too Tolerant Of Creepy People.: Yes: 85 0.027570548167369445 No: 1988 0.6448264677262406 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction.: Yes: 126 0.04086928316574765 No: 1947 0.6315277327278624 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Too Tolerant Of Progressivism.: Yes: 30 0.009730781706130393 No: 2043 0.6626662341874797 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Literally A Cult. : Yes: 121 0.039247486214725916 No: 1952 0.6331495296788842 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. : Yes: 844 0.2737593253324684 No: 1229 0.39863769056114173 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 [Write in below]: Yes: 199 0.06454751865066494 No: 1874 0.6078494972429452 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 [Write in below]: Yes: 30 0.009730781706130393 No: 2043 0.6626662341874797 N/A: 1010 0.3276029841063899 Write in one:: Write in two:: What are the biggest problems with LessWrong now? Philosophical Issues: Over Reliance On The Sequences.: Yes: 316 0.10249756730457346 No: 1727 0.5601686668829062 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Focus On AI.: Yes: 247 0.08011676938047356 No: 1796 0.5825494648070062 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Focus On Cryonics.: Yes: 184 0.05968212779759974 No: 1859 0.60298410638988 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Criticism Of The Scientific Method.: Yes: 73 0.02367823548491729 No: 1970 0.6389879987025624 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Too Much Jargon.: Yes: 430 0.13947453778786895 No: 1613 0.5231916963996107 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Too Focused On Abstract Junk.: Yes: 259 0.08400908206292572 No: 1784 0.578657152124554 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 [Write in below]: Yes: 186 0.06033084657800843 No: 1857 0.6023353876094713 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 [Write in below]: Yes: 31 0.010055141096334739 No: 2012 0.652611093091145 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Write in one:: Write in two:: Community Issues: No New Content: Yes: 417 0.13525786571521245 No: 1626 0.5274083684722672 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 No New *Good* Content: Yes: 812 0.2633798248459293 No: 1231 0.39928640934155046 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest: Yes: 269 0.08725267596496919 No: 1774 0.5754135582225105 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Lame Forum Software: Yes: 251 0.08141420694129095 No: 1792 0.5812520272461887 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Decline from new people coming in who don't understand the culture: Yes: 217 0.07038598767434318 No: 1826 0.5922802465131366 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Decline from evaporative cooling (http://lesswrong.com/lw/lr/evaporative_cooling_of_group_beliefs/): Yes: 288 0.09341550437885177 No: 1755 0.569250729808628 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Decline from dunning kruger where competent refrain from posting what they feel to be sub par content (and by extension, posting content at all) but incompetent don't : Yes: 386 0.12520272461887771 No: 1657 0.537463509568602 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Not Enough In Person Interaction: Yes: 127 0.041193642555951995 No: 1916 0.6214725916315277 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Overly High Standards For Content Submission: Yes: 124 0.040220564385338956 No: 1919 0.6224456698021408 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Failure to cite sources: Yes: 87 0.028219266947778137 No: 1956 0.6344469672397016 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Too Autistic: Yes: 108 0.03503081414206941 No: 1935 0.6276354200454103 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks: Yes: 138 0.0447615958481998 No: 1905 0.6179046383392799 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Too Tolerant Of Laziness: Yes: 66 0.021407719753486862 No: 1977 0.6412585144339928 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Too Tolerant Of Creepy People: Yes: 70 0.02270515731430425 No: 1973 0.6399610768731755 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction: Yes: 113 0.03665261109309115 No: 1930 0.6260136230943886 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Too Tolerant Of Progressivism: Yes: 47 0.015244891339604282 No: 1996 0.6474213428478754 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Literally A Cult : Yes: 88 0.028543626337982485 No: 1955 0.6341226078494973 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 [Write in below]: Yes: 190 0.06162828413882582 No: 1853 0.6010379500486539 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 [Write in below]: Yes: 38 0.012325656827765165 No: 2005 0.6503405773597145 N/A: 1040 0.3373337658125203 Write in one:: Write in two:: What would you want from a successor? Philosophically: Attention Paid To Outside Sources: More: 1047 0.33960428154395067 Same: 416 0.1349335063250081 Less: 13 0.0042166720726565035 None: 1607 0.5212455400583846 Self Improvement Focus: More: 757 0.24554005838469023 Same: 602 0.19526435290301655 Less: 135 0.043788517677586763 None: 1589 0.5154070710347065 AI Focus: More: 186 0.06033084657800843 Same: 822 0.26662341874797274 Less: 458 0.14855660071359067 None: 1617 0.5244891339604282 Political: More: 332 0.10768731754784301 Same: 773 0.2507298086279598 Less: 347 0.11255270840090821 None: 1631 0.529030165423289 Academic/Formal: More: 457 0.1482322413233863 Same: 806 0.26143366850470323 Less: 169 0.054816736944534546 None: 1651 0.5355173532273759 [Write in your own]: More: 146 0.04735647096983458 Same: 44 0.014271813168991242 Less: 29 0.009406422315926047 None: 2864 0.9289652935452481 [Write in your own]: More: 40 0.012974375608173857 Same: 20 0.006487187804086928 Less: 17 0.005514109633473889 None: 3006 0.9750243269542653 [Write in your own]: More: 24 0.007784625364904314 Same: 9 0.0029192345118391177 Less: 8 0.0025948751216347712 None: 3042 0.9867012650016218 Write in one:: Write in two:: Write in three:: Community: Intense Environment: More: 255 0.08271164450210834 Same: 833 0.2701913720402206 Less: 210 0.06811547194291274 None: 1785 0.5789815115147584 Focused On 'Real World' Action: More: 741 0.2403503081414207 Same: 567 0.1839117742458644 Less: 71 0.023029516704508597 None: 1704 0.5527084009082063 Experts: More: 750 0.2432695426532598 Same: 579 0.18780408692831657 Less: 23 0.007460265974699967 None: 1731 0.5614661044437237 Data Driven/Testing Of Ideas: More: 1110 0.3600389231268245 Same: 293 0.0950373013298735 Less: 15 0.004865390853065196 None: 1665 0.5400583846902368 Social: More: 584 0.1894258838793383 Same: 686 0.22251054168018164 Less: 75 0.02432695426532598 None: 1738 0.563736620175154 [Write in your own]: More: 68 0.022056438533895557 Same: 9 0.0029192345118391177 Less: 20 0.006487187804086928 None: 2986 0.9685371391501784 [Write in your own]: More: 20 0.006487187804086928 Same: 10 0.003243593902043464 Less: 5 0.001621796951021732 None: 3048 0.9886474213428479 [Write in your own]: More: 11 0.0035679532922478106 Same: 4 0.0012974375608173856 Less: 1 0.0003243593902043464 None: 3067 0.9948102497567305 Write in one:: Write in two:: Write in three:: Where do you hang out now? I'm Currently An Active Member Of: LessWrong: Yes: 354 0.11482322413233863 No: 1604 0.5202724618877717 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 LessWrong Meetups: Yes: 216 0.07006162828413882 No: 1742 0.5650340577359715 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 LessWrong Facebook Group: Yes: 172 0.055789815115147585 No: 1786 0.5793058709049627 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 LessWrong Slack: Yes: 56 0.018164125851443398 No: 1902 0.6169315601686669 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 SlateStarCodex: Yes: 837 0.27148880960103794 No: 1121 0.36360687641907236 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 Rationalist Tumblr: Yes: 352 0.11417450535192994 No: 1606 0.5209211806681804 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 Rationalist Facebook: Yes: 151 0.04897826792085631 No: 1807 0.586117418099254 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 Rationalist Twitter: Yes: 60 0.019461563412260786 No: 1898 0.6156341226078494 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 Effective Altruism Hub: Yes: 99 0.03211157963023029 No: 1859 0.60298410638988 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 FortForecast: Yes: 5 0.001621796951021732 No: 1953 0.6334738890690885 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 Good Judgement(TM) Open: Yes: 31 0.010055141096334739 No: 1927 0.6250405449237756 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 PredictionBook: Yes: 60 0.019461563412260786 No: 1898 0.6156341226078494 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 Omnilibrium: Yes: 9 0.0029192345118391177 No: 1949 0.6321764515082712 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 Hacker News: Yes: 253 0.08206292572169964 No: 1705 0.5530327602984106 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 #lesswrong on freenode : Yes: 77 0.024975673045734673 No: 1881 0.6101200129743756 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 #slatestarcodex on freenode: Yes: 37 0.012001297437560817 No: 1921 0.6230943885825495 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 #hplusroadmap on freenode: Yes: 5 0.001621796951021732 No: 1953 0.6334738890690885 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 #chapelperilous on freenode: Yes: 11 0.0035679532922478106 No: 1947 0.6315277327278624 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 /r/rational: Yes: 275 0.08919883230619527 No: 1683 0.545896853713915 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 /r/HPMOR: Yes: 232 0.07525137852740837 No: 1726 0.5598443074927019 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 /r/SlateStarCodex: Yes: 245 0.07946805060006487 No: 1713 0.5556276354200455 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 One or more private 'rationalist' groups : Yes: 193 0.06260136230943886 No: 1765 0.5724943237106714 N/A: 1125 0.3649043139798897 Other: Yes: 0 0.0 No: 0 0.0 N/A: 0 0.0 Would you consider rejoining LessWrong?: I never left: 671 0.218 Yes: 557 0.181 Yes, but only under certain conditions: 206 0.067 No: 218 0.071 None: 1431 0.464 If you would only rejoin under certain conditions, what would those be?: Interests And Media Do You Read These Blogs: LessWrong: Regular Reader: 239 0.07752189425883879 Sometimes: 642 0.2082387285111904 Rarely: 537 0.17418099253973401 Almost Never: 272 0.08822575413558223 Never: 70 0.02270515731430425 Never Heard Of It: 14 0.0045410314628608495 None: 1309 0.42458644177748944 SlateStarCodex (Scott Alexander): Regular Reader: 1137 0.36879662666234186 Sometimes: 264 0.08563087901394745 Rarely: 90 0.029192345118391177 Almost Never: 61 0.01978592280246513 Never: 51 0.016542328900421666 Never Heard Of It: 181 0.0587090496269867 None: 1299 0.421342847875446 Overcoming Bias (Robin Hanson): Regular Reader: 207 0.0671423937722997 Sometimes: 365 0.11839117742458644 Rarely: 391 0.12682452156989946 Almost Never: 387 0.12552708400908205 Never: 240 0.07784625364904314 Never Heard Of It: 169 0.054816736944534546 None: 1324 0.42945183263055464 Minding Our Way (Nate Soares): Regular Reader: 154 0.04995134609146935 Sometimes: 134 0.04346415828738242 Rarely: 139 0.045085955238404155 Almost Never: 175 0.056762893285760625 Never: 214 0.06941290950373014 Never Heard Of It: 922 0.2990593577684074 None: 1345 0.4362633798248459 Agenty Duck (Brienne Yudkowsky): Regular Reader: 57 0.018488485241647746 Sometimes: 132 0.042815439506973724 Rarely: 144 0.04670775218942588 Almost Never: 213 0.06908855011352578 Never: 254 0.08238728511190399 Never Heard Of It: 935 0.3032760298410639 None: 1348 0.43723645799545896 Eliezer Yudkowsky's Facebook Page: Regular Reader: 326 0.10574116120661693 Sometimes: 316 0.10249756730457346 Rarely: 231 0.07492701913720402 Almost Never: 268 0.08692831657476484 Never: 362 0.1174180992539734 Never Heard Of It: 254 0.08238728511190399 None: 1326 0.43010055141096337 Luke Muehlhauser (Eponymous): Regular Reader: 60 0.019461563412260786 Sometimes: 107 0.03470645475186507 Rarely: 179 0.05806033084657801 Almost Never: 231 0.07492701913720402 Never: 312 0.10120012974375608 Never Heard Of It: 839 0.27213752838144667 None: 1355 0.4395069737268894 Gwern.net (Gwern Branwen): Regular Reader: 118 0.038274408044112876 Sometimes: 282 0.09146934803762569 Rarely: 293 0.0950373013298735 Almost Never: 224 0.07265650340577359 Never: 230 0.07460265974699967 Never Heard Of It: 599 0.1942912747324035 None: 1337 0.43366850470321117 Siderea (Sibylla Bostoniensis): Regular Reader: 31 0.010055141096334739 Sometimes: 49 0.015893610120012974 Rarely: 59 0.019137204022056438 Almost Never: 104 0.03373337658125203 Never: 183 0.05935776840739539 Never Heard Of It: 1304 0.42296464482646773 None: 1353 0.4388582549464807 BlogsRead2: Ribbon Farm (Venkatesh Rao): Regular Reader: 65 0.021083360363282518 Sometimes: 123 0.03989620499513461 Rarely: 111 0.03600389231268245 Almost Never: 151 0.04897826792085631 Never: 150 0.04865390853065196 Never Heard Of It: 1120 0.363282517028868 None: 1363 0.44210184884852416 Bayesed And Confused (Michael Rupert): Regular Reader: 2 0.0006487187804086928 Sometimes: 10 0.003243593902043464 Rarely: 24 0.007784625364904314 Almost Never: 68 0.022056438533895557 Never: 167 0.05416801816412585 Never Heard Of It: 1440 0.46707752189425883 None: 1372 0.4450210833603633 The Unit Of Caring (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 284 0.09211806681803439 Sometimes: 132 0.042815439506973724 Rarely: 127 0.041193642555951995 Almost Never: 179 0.05806033084657801 Never: 216 0.07006162828413882 Never Heard Of It: 776 0.25170288679857283 None: 1369 0.44404800518975024 GiveWell Blog (Multiple Authors): Regular Reader: 76 0.02465131365553033 Sometimes: 197 0.06389879987025625 Rarely: 244 0.07914369120986052 Almost Never: 281 0.09114498864742135 Never: 414 0.1342847875445994 Never Heard Of It: 483 0.15666558546869933 None: 1387 0.4498864742134285 Thing Of Things (Ozy Frantz): Regular Reader: 367 0.11903989620499514 Sometimes: 201 0.06519623743107363 Rarely: 143 0.04638339279922154 Almost Never: 172 0.055789815115147585 Never: 177 0.057411612066169314 Never Heard Of It: 661 0.21440155692507298 None: 1362 0.4417774894583198 The Last Psychiatrist (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 103 0.033409017191047684 Sometimes: 94 0.030489782679208564 Rarely: 167 0.05416801816412585 Almost Never: 222 0.0720077846253649 Never: 302 0.09795653584171261 Never Heard Of It: 828 0.2685695750891988 None: 1367 0.44339928640934156 Hotel Concierge (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 31 0.010055141096334739 Sometimes: 36 0.01167693804735647 Rarely: 49 0.015893610120012974 Almost Never: 88 0.028543626337982485 Never: 179 0.05806033084657801 Never Heard Of It: 1318 0.42750567628932856 None: 1382 0.44826467726240676 The View From Hell (Sister Y): Regular Reader: 35 0.011352578657152125 Sometimes: 39 0.01265001621796951 Rarely: 76 0.02465131365553033 Almost Never: 137 0.04443723645799546 Never: 250 0.0810898475510866 Never Heard Of It: 1171 0.37982484592928967 None: 1375 0.4459941615309763 Xenosystems (Nick Land): Regular Reader: 53 0.01719104768083036 Sometimes: 32 0.010379500486539085 Rarely: 64 0.02075900097307817 Almost Never: 175 0.056762893285760625 Never: 366 0.11871553681479079 Never Heard Of It: 1009 0.3272786247161855 None: 1384 0.44891339604281544 Are there any noteworthy blogs you read that we missed above?: Have You Read These Stories?: Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality (Eliezer Yudkowsky): Whole Thing: 1105 0.3584171261758028 Partially And Intend To Finish: 146 0.04735647096983458 Partially And Abandoned: 231 0.07492701913720402 Never: 223 0.07233214401556926 Never Heard Of It: 82 0.026597469996756405 None: 1296 0.420369769704833 Significant Digits (Alexander D): Whole Thing: 123 0.03989620499513461 Partially And Intend To Finish: 105 0.03405773597145637 Partially And Abandoned: 91 0.029516704508595525 Never: 333 0.10801167693804736 Never Heard Of It: 1083 0.35128121959130715 None: 1348 0.43723645799545896 Three Worlds Collide (Eliezer Yudkowsky): Whole Thing: 891 0.28900421667207266 Partially And Intend To Finish: 35 0.011352578657152125 Partially And Abandoned: 36 0.01167693804735647 Never: 287 0.09309114498864741 Never Heard Of It: 492 0.15958481998053844 None: 1342 0.4352903016542329 The Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant (Nick Bostrom): Whole Thing: 729 0.23645799545896853 Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 0.010055141096334739 Partially And Abandoned: 15 0.004865390853065196 Never: 205 0.06649367499189102 Never Heard Of It: 762 0.24716185533571197 None: 1341 0.43496594226402857 The World of Null-A (A. E. van Vogt): Whole Thing: 93 0.030165423289004217 Partially And Intend To Finish: 18 0.005838469023678235 Partially And Abandoned: 25 0.008108984755108661 Never: 430 0.13947453778786895 Never Heard Of It: 1163 0.37722997080765486 None: 1354 0.43918261433668504 Synthesis (Sharon Mitchell): Whole Thing: 7 0.0022705157314304248 Partially And Intend To Finish: 2 0.0006487187804086928 Partially And Abandoned: 8 0.0025948751216347712 Never: 217 0.07038598767434318 Never Heard Of It: 1474 0.47810574116120663 None: 1375 0.4459941615309763 Worm (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 502 0.1628284138825819 Partially And Intend To Finish: 168 0.054492377554330194 Partially And Abandoned: 185 0.06000648718780409 Never: 431 0.1397988971780733 Never Heard Of It: 457 0.1482322413233863 None: 1340 0.4346415828738242 Pact (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 138 0.0447615958481998 Partially And Intend To Finish: 59 0.019137204022056438 Partially And Abandoned: 148 0.04800518975024327 Never: 501 0.16250405449237756 Never Heard Of It: 887 0.28770677911125525 None: 1350 0.43788517677586763 Twig (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 55 0.017839766461239054 Partially And Intend To Finish: 132 0.042815439506973724 Partially And Abandoned: 66 0.021407719753486862 Never: 560 0.181641258514434 Never Heard Of It: 916 0.29711320142718134 None: 1354 0.43918261433668504 StoriesRead2: Ra (Sam Hughes): Whole Thing: 269 0.08725267596496919 Partially And Intend To Finish: 81 0.02627311060655206 Partially And Abandoned: 95 0.03081414206941291 Never: 314 0.10184884852416477 Never Heard Of It: 976 0.3165747648394421 None: 1348 0.43723645799545896 My Little Pony: Friendship Is Optimal (Iceman): Whole Thing: 424 0.13752838144664287 Partially And Intend To Finish: 17 0.005514109633473889 Partially And Abandoned: 65 0.021083360363282518 Never: 559 0.18131689912422966 Never Heard Of It: 672 0.21796951021732078 None: 1346 0.4365877392150503 Friendship Is Optimal: Caelum Est Conterrens (Chatoyance): Whole Thing: 217 0.07038598767434318 Partially And Intend To Finish: 17 0.005514109633473889 Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.007784625364904314 Never: 411 0.13331170937398637 Never Heard Of It: 1045 0.338955562763542 None: 1369 0.44404800518975024 Ender's Game (Orson Scott Card): Whole Thing: 1182 0.38339279922153746 Partially And Intend To Finish: 23 0.007460265974699967 Partially And Abandoned: 43 0.013947453778786896 Never: 395 0.12812195913071683 Never Heard Of It: 115 0.037301329873499836 None: 1325 0.429776192020759 The Diamond Age (Neal Stephenson): Whole Thing: 443 0.14369120986052547 Partially And Intend To Finish: 37 0.012001297437560817 Partially And Abandoned: 56 0.018164125851443398 Never: 577 0.18715536814790787 Never Heard Of It: 629 0.20402205643853388 None: 1341 0.43496594226402857 Consider Phlebas (Iain Banks): Whole Thing: 304 0.09860525462212132 Partially And Intend To Finish: 52 0.016866688290626014 Partially And Abandoned: 47 0.015244891339604282 Never: 441 0.14304249108011677 Never Heard Of It: 886 0.28738241972105094 None: 1353 0.4388582549464807 The Metamorphosis Of Prime Intellect (Roger Williams): Whole Thing: 226 0.0733052221861823 Partially And Intend To Finish: 11 0.0035679532922478106 Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.007784625364904314 Never: 322 0.10444372364579954 Never Heard Of It: 1131 0.3668504703211158 None: 1369 0.44404800518975024 Accelerando (Charles Stross): Whole Thing: 294 0.09536166072007785 Partially And Intend To Finish: 46 0.014920531949399934 Partially And Abandoned: 66 0.021407719753486862 Never: 427 0.1385014596172559 Never Heard Of It: 892 0.289328576062277 None: 1358 0.44048005189750244 A Fire Upon The Deep (Vernor Vinge): Whole Thing: 348 0.11287706779111255 Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 0.010055141096334739 Partially And Abandoned: 41 0.013298734998378203 Never: 509 0.16509892961401232 Never Heard Of It: 813 0.2637041842361336 None: 1341 0.43496594226402857 Machine Intelligence Research Institute Do you know what the Machine Intelligence Research Institute is?: Yes: 1547 0.502 No but I've heard of it: 175 0.057 No: 93 0.03 None: 1268 0.411 Have you ever read a paper from the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?: Yes: 467 0.151 Partially: 500 0.162 No: 846 0.274 None: 1270 0.412 Would you consider working for the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?: Yes: 974 0.316 No: 805 0.261 N/A: 1304 0.423 Do you think you're trustworthy enough not to let an AI out of the box?: Yes: 474 0.154 No: 1248 0.405 N/A: 1361 0.441 Have you ever practiced not letting an AI out of the box?: Yes with Eliezer's Ruleset: 20 0.006 Yes with Tuxedage's Ruleset: 6 0.002 Yes with a different ruleset: 19 0.006 No but I've been the AI: 40 0.013 No: 1692 0.549 None: 1306 0.424 On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "MIRI's mission of  doing mathematical research relevant to friendly self-improving  artificial intelligence is very important.": On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "Whether or not I  agree with MIRI's goals, I believe MIRI is a well-run organization that  pursues its goals effectively.": Center For Applied Rationality (Bonus Section) Do you know what the Center For Applied Rationality is?: Yes: 1289 0.418 No but I've heard of it: 288 0.093 No: 178 0.058 None: 1328 0.431 Have you attended CFAR?: No, and I don't plan to: 852 0.276 No, and I would like to: 733 0.238 I have attended a paid or volunteer program with CFAR: 109 0.035 I have led a program at CFAR: 8 0.003 None: 1381 0.448 Think about your current set of skills, your habits, the things you spend your time on, how you interact with other people, the intellectual questions that you find engaging, the goals you’re aiming towards, and the challenges that you’re currently facing going forward. Next, think about how you were one year ago on each of these dimensions. How different are you now from how you were one year ago?: Not at all different: 107 0.035 Slightly different: 567 0.184 Somewhat different: 677 0.22 Very different: 316 0.102 Extremely different : 0 0.0 None: 1351 0.438 (optional) In about one sentence, what is one difference that stands out as being particularly large or significant?: (Optional) Can you think of any changes that you’ve made in the past month to your daily routines or habits in order to make things go better? These can be tiny changes (e.g., adjusted the curtains on my bedroom window so that less light comes in while I’m sleeping) or large ones. Spend about 60 seconds recalling as many examples of these kinds of changes as you can and listing them here. (If you want to skip this question, leave it blank. If you spend the 60 seconds and no specific examples come to mind, write "none."):

What's your overall opinion of the Center For Applied Rationality?

: Positive: 377 0.122 Mostly Positive: 414 0.134 No strong opinion: 802 0.26 Mostly Negative: 63 0.02 Negative: 16 0.005 None: 1411 0.458 Effective Altruism (Bonus Section) Do you know what Effective Altruism is?: Yes: 1567 0.508 No but I've heard of it: 115 0.037 No: 74 0.024 None: 1327 0.43 Do you self-identify as an Effective Altruist?: Yes: 667 0.216 No: 1034 0.335 N/A: 1382 0.448 Do you participate in the Effective Altruism community?: Yes: 315 0.102 No: 1395 0.452 N/A: 1373 0.445 Has Effective Altruism caused you to make donations you otherwise wouldn't?: Yes: 667 0.216 No: 1035 0.336 N/A: 1381 0.448 Have you ever had any kind of moral anxiety over Effective Altruism?: Yes: 504 0.163 Yes but only because I worry about everything: 184 0.06 No: 1011 0.328 None: 1384 0.449 What's your overall opinion of Effective Altruism?: Positive: 813 0.264 Mostly Positive: 536 0.174 No strong opinion: 258 0.084 Mostly Negative: 76 0.025 Negative: 24 0.008 None: 1376 0.446 Politics (Bonus Section) With which of these political positions do you most identify?: Progressive: 217 0.07 Communist: 13 0.004 Socialist: 126 0.041 Conservative: 38 0.012 Fascist: 5 0.002 Neoreactionary: 28 0.009 Social Democrat: 237 0.077 Moderate: 67 0.022 Pragmatist: 131 0.042 Anarchist: 50 0.016 Libertarian: 190 0.062 Left-Libertarian: 245 0.079 Objectivist: 10 0.003 Monarchist: 5 0.002 Futarchist: 31 0.01 Totalitarian: 2 0.001 Other: 126 0.04086928316574765 None: 1556 0.505 Did you vote in your country's last major national election?: Yes: 1155 0.375 No: 513 0.166 My country does not hold elections: 8 0.003 None: 1407 0.456 If you are an American, what party are you registered with?: Democratic Party: 362 0.117 Republican Party: 72 0.023 Libertarian Party: 26 0.008 Other third party: 16 0.005 Not registered for a party: 452 0.147 (option for non-Americans who want an option): 542 0.176 None: 1613 0.523 On a scale from 1  (not interested at all) to 5 (extremely interested), how would you  describe your level of interest in politics?: How would you describe your opinion on abortion laws?: Abortion: Pro-Life: 104 0.03373337658125203 Lean Pro-Life: 97 0.031462860849821604 No strong opinion: 77 0.024975673045734673 Lean Pro-Choice: 265 0.0859552384041518 Pro-Choice: 1158 0.37560817385663314 None: 1382 0.44826467726240676 How would you describe your opinion on immigration?: Immigration: Should be more open: 671 0.21764515082711644 Lean more open: 508 0.16477457022380798 No strong opinion: 264 0.08563087901394745 Lean more restricted: 140 0.0454103146286085 Should be more restricted: 107 0.03470645475186507 None: 1393 0.45183263055465456 How would you describe your opinion on taxes in your country?: Taxes: Should be lower: 225 0.07298086279597794 Lean towards lower: 237 0.0768731754784301 No strong opinion: 546 0.17710022705157313 Lean towards higher: 417 0.13525786571521245 Should be higher: 264 0.08563087901394745 None: 1394 0.4521569899448589 How would you describe your opinion on minimum wage laws in your country?: Minimum Wage: Should be lower or eliminated: 288 0.09341550437885177 Lean towards lower or eliminated: 202 0.06552059682127798 No strong opinion: 510 0.16542328900421668 Lean towards higher: 385 0.12487836522867338 Should be higher: 295 0.0956860201102822 None: 1403 0.45507622445669804 How would you describe your opinion of feminism, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feminism for more information: Feminism: Very unfavorable: 151 0.04897826792085631 Unfavorable: 250 0.0810898475510866 No strong opinion: 252 0.0817385663314953 Favorable: 612 0.19850794680506 Very favorable: 417 0.13525786571521245 None: 1401 0.4544275056762893 How would you describe your opinion of social justice, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_justice for more information: Social Justice: Very unfavorable: 341 0.11060655205968213 Unfavorable: 372 0.12066169315601687 No strong opinion: 290 0.09406422315926045 Favorable: 462 0.14985403827440805 Very favorable: 209 0.06779111255270841 None: 1409 0.4570223807979241 How would you  describe your opinion of the idea of "human biodiversity", as you  understand the term? No Wiki page available, but essentially it is the  belief that there are important genetic differences between human  populations and that therefore ideas generally considered racist, such  as different races having different average intelligence or personality  traits, are in fact scientifically justified: Human Biodiversity: Very unfavorable: 231 0.07492701913720402 Unfavorable: 384 0.12455400583846903 No strong opinion: 517 0.1676938047356471 Favorable: 399 0.1294193966915342 Very favorable: 129 0.04184236133636069 None: 1423 0.46156341226078496 How would you describe your opinion of a Basic Income Guarantee in your country? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_Income_Guarantee for more information.: Basic Income: Strongly oppose: 64 0.02075900097307817 Oppose: 110 0.03567953292247811 No strong opinion: 261 0.08465780084333442 Support: 626 0.20304897826792084 Strongly support: 621 0.20142718131689913 None: 1401 0.4544275056762893 Do you believe we  are currently in or entering a "Great Stagnation", as proposed by Tyler  Cowen and Peter Thiel, during which technological growth slows  drastically? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Stagnation for more information: Great Stagnation: Strongly doubt: 270 0.08757703535517353 Doubt: 637 0.20661693156016867 No strong opinion: 555 0.18001946156341225 Believe: 157 0.050924424262082386 Strongly believe: 29 0.009406422315926047 None: 1435 0.4654557249432371 Calibration Questions Do you understand the instructions above?: Yes, I understand I should answer in percentages between 0 and 100: 1646 0.534 No, I don't read instructions and am going to ruin the survey results for everyone: 43 0.014 None: 1394 0.452 CalibrationQuestions: Probabilities ProbabilityQuestions: : Please give the obvious answer to this question, so I can automatically throw away all surveys that don't follow the rules: What is the probability of a fair coin coming up heads? : Sum: 80213.9989998995 Mean: 49.82235962726677 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that the Many Worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics is more or less correct?: Sum: 57876.2765532333 Mean: 44.588810903877736 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that non-human, non-Earthly intelligent life exists in the observable universe?: Sum: 109378.29058157398 Mean: 75.74673862989889 Median: 90.0 Mode: 99.0 ...in the Milky Way galaxy?: Sum: 64163.32026926869 Mean: 46.66423292310451 Median: 50.0 Mode: 10.0 What is the probability that supernatural events (including God, ghosts, magic, etc) have occurred since the beginning of the universe?: Sum: 12624.714712170931 Mean: 13.574962056097743 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that there is a god, defined as a supernatural intelligent entity who created the universe?: Sum: 15535.557953131427 Mean: 15.458266620031244 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that any of humankind's revealed religions is more or less correct?: Sum: 8578.60633673673 Mean: 10.603963333419902 Median: 0.5 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that an average person cryonically frozen today will be successfully restored to life at some future time, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization before then?: Sum: 29494.64525290689 Mean: 21.24974441852082 Median: 10.0 Mode: 5.0 What is the probability that at least one person living at this moment will reach an age of one thousand years, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization in that time?: Sum: 34398.58545244187 Mean: 25.25593645553737 Median: 10.0 Mode: 1.0 What is the probability that our universe is a simulation?: Sum: 30459.535304433874 Mean: 25.235737617592296 Median: 10.0 Mode: 50.0 What is the probability that significant global warming is occurring or will soon occur, and is primarily caused by human actions?: Sum: 122103.09299969983 Mean: 83.34682116020471 Median: 90.0 Mode: 90.0 What is the probability that the human race will make it to 2100 without any catastrophe that wipes out more than 90% of humanity?: Sum: 111393.97345414276 Mean: 76.29724209187863 Median: 80.0 Mode: 80.0 Futurology Cryonics (Section Header): Are you signed up for cryonics?: Yes - signed up or just finishing up paperwork: 48 0.016 No - would like to sign up but unavailable in my area: 104 0.034 No - would like to sign up but haven't gotten around to it: 181 0.059 No - would like to sign up but can't afford it: 230 0.075 No - still considering it: 557 0.181 No - and do not want to sign up for cryonics: 472 0.153 Never thought about it / don't understand: 68 0.022 None: 1423 0.462 Do you think cryonics, as currently practiced by Alcor/Cryonics Institute will work?: Yes: 106 0.034 Maybe: 1043 0.338 No: 473 0.153 None: 1461 0.474 Do you think cryonics works in principle?: Yes: 804 0.261 Maybe: 703 0.228 No: 127 0.041 None: 1449 0.47 Singularity (Section Header): By what year do you think the Singularity will occur? Answer such that you think, conditional on the Singularity occurring, there is an even chance of the Singularity falling before or after this year. If you think a  singularity is so unlikely you don't even want to condition on it, leave this question blank.: Sum: 1.0000000000590109e+20 Mean: 8.090614887208986e+16 Median: 2080.0 Mode: 2100.0 Have you ever made any kind of personal health change with the goal of living to see the singularity? (If multiple please separate with commas.): Superbabies (Section Header): Would you ever consider having your child genetically modified for any reason?: Yes: 1557 0.505 No: 67 0.022 N/A: 1459 0.473 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified to prevent them from getting an inheritable disease?: Yes: 1391 0.451 Depends on the disease: 209 0.068 No: 28 0.009 None: 1455 0.472 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for improvement purposes? (eg. To heighten their intelligence or reduce their risk of schizophrenia.): Yes : 0 0.0 Maybe a little: 177 0.057 Depends on the strength of the improvements: 264 0.086 No: 84 0.027 None: 1458 0.473 Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for cosmetic reasons? (eg. To make them taller or have a certain eye color.): Yes: 500 0.162 Maybe a little: 382 0.124 Depends on the strength of the improvements: 280 0.091 No: 457 0.148 None: 1464 0.475 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for disease prevention purposes?: Positive: 1181 0.383 Mostly Positive: 312 0.101 No strong opinion: 112 0.036 Mostly Negative: 29 0.009 Negative: 13 0.004 None: 1436 0.466 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for improvement purposes?: Positive: 740 0.24 Mostly Positive: 483 0.157 No strong opinion: 273 0.089 Mostly Negative: 112 0.036 Negative: 39 0.013 None: 1436 0.466 What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for cosmetic reasons?: Positive: 292 0.095 Mostly Positive: 292 0.095 No strong opinion: 576 0.187 Mostly Negative: 331 0.107 Negative: 157 0.051 None: 1435 0.465 Technological Unemployment (Futurology Part 2) Do you think the Luddite's Fallacy is an actual fallacy?: Yes: 444 0.144 No: 995 0.323 N/A: 1644 0.533 By what year do you think the majority of people in your country will have trouble finding employment for automation related reasons? If you think this is something that will never happen leave this question blank.: Sum: 2216340.0 Mean: 2102.789373814042 Median: 2050.0 Mode: 2050.0 Do you think the "end of work" would be a good thing?: Yes: 1243 0.403 No: 286 0.093 N/A: 1554 0.504 If machines end all or almost all employment, what are your biggest worries? Pick two.: People will just idle about in destructive ways: Yes: 515 0.1670450859552384 No: 1184 0.38404151800194614 N/A: 1384 0.44891339604281544 People need work to be fulfilled and if we eliminate work we'll all feel deep existential angst: Yes: 544 0.17645150827116446 No: 1155 0.3746350956860201 N/A: 1384 0.44891339604281544 The rich are going to take all the resources for themselves and leave the rest of us to starve or live in poverty: Yes: 1070 0.3470645475186507 No: 629 0.20402205643853388 N/A: 1384 0.44891339604281544 The machines won't need us, and we'll starve to death or be otherwise liquidated: Yes: 416 0.1349335063250081 No: 1283 0.41615309763217645 N/A: 1384 0.44891339604281544 Other: Yes: 0 0.0 No: 0 0.0 N/A: 0 0.0 The next question isn't exactly related to technological unemployment, but making a part three for one question seemed impractical.: Which disaster do you think is most likely to wipe out greater than 90% of humanity before the year 2100?: Nuclear war: 327 0.106 Asteroid strike: 64 0.021 Unfriendly AI: 272 0.088 Nanotech / grey goo: 18 0.006 Pandemic (natural): 121 0.039 Pandemic (bioengineered): 356 0.115 Environmental collapse (including global warming): 254 0.082 Economic / political collapse: 136 0.044 Other: 35 0.011352578657152125 None: 1498 0.486 Charity (Bonus Section) What is your approximate annual income in US dollars (non-Americans: convert at www.xe.com)? Obviously you don't need to answer this question if you don't want to. Please don't include commas or dollar signs.: Sum: 66114964.47384 Mean: 64439.536524210525 Median: 40000.0 Mode: 30000.0 How much money, in number of dollars, have you donated to charity over the past year? (non-Americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/ ). Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. For example, 4000: Sum: 2392840.6530000004 Mean: 2907.4613037667073 Median: 356.0 Mode: 100.0 How much money have you donated to charities aiming to reduce existential risk (other than MIRI/CFAR) in the past year?: Sum: 169700.89 Mean: 1973.2661627906978 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: Against Malaria Foundation: Sum: 483935.027 Mean: 1905.2560118110237 Median: 300.0 Mode: All values found equally likely. Schistosomiasis Control Initiative: Sum: 47908.0 Mean: 840.4912280701755 Median: 200.0 Mode: 1000.0 Deworm the World Initiative : Sum: 28820.0 Mean: 565.0980392156863 Median: 150.0 Mode: 500.0 GiveDirectly: Sum: 154410.177 Mean: 1429.723861111111 Median: 450.0 Mode: 50.0 Any kind of animal rights charity: Sum: 83130.47 Mean: 1093.8219736842104 Median: 154.235 Mode: 500.0 Any kind of bug rights charity: Sum: 1083.0 Mean: 270.75 Median: 157.5 Mode: All values found equally likely. Machine Intelligence Research Institute: Sum: 141792.5 Mean: 1417.925 Median: 100.0 Mode: 100.0 Any charity combating nuclear existential risk: Sum: 491.0 Mean: 81.83333333333333 Median: 75.0 Mode: 100.0 Any charity combating global warming: Sum: 13412.0 Mean: 248.37037037037038 Median: 100.0 Mode: 10.0 Center For Applied Rationality: Sum: 127101.0 Mean: 3177.525 Median: 150.0 Mode: 100.0 Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence Research Foundation: Sum: 9429.0 Mean: 554.6470588235294 Median: 100.0 Mode: 20.0 Wikipedia: Sum: 12965.5 Mean: 53.79875518672199 Median: 20.0 Mode: 10.0 Internet Archive: Sum: 2975.04 Mean: 80.40648648648649 Median: 30.0 Mode: 50.0 Any campaign for political office: Sum: 39333.99 Mean: 364.2036111111111 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 Other: Sum: 566590.46 Mean: 1656.6972514619881 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 Do you follow any dietary restrictions related to animal products?: Yes, I am vegan: 55 0.018 Yes, I am vegetarian: 158 0.051 Yes, I restrict meat some other way (pescetarian, flexitarian, try to only eat ethically sourced meat): 377 0.122 No: 999 0.324 None: 1494 0.485 Wrapping Up Have you taken a previous LessWrong Survey?: Yes: 772 0.25 No: 874 0.283 N/A: 1437 0.466 Would you like to be put on a mailing list to hear about future developments in revitalizing LessWrong or new 'rationalist' communities? If yes put in your email address below. (This is optional and will not be published in the public survey results.):