Total survey respondents: 3083 Respondent surveys used: 3070 Privacy Can we include your survey data in a public dataset?: Yes: 2558 83.3% No: 113 3.7% N/A: 399 13.0% Do you consent to having your survey responses being used as part of a research paper?: Yes: 2564 83.5% No: 105 3.4% N/A: 401 13.1% Demographic Information Age: Sum: 66328.9 Mean: 28.09356204997882 Median: 26.0 Mode: 23.0 Stdev: 9.491059958110975 Sex - What sex were you assigned at birth?: Male: 2012 65.5% Female: 391 12.7% Other: 5 0.163% None: 662 21.6% Gender - With what gender do you primarily identify?: F (cisgender): 319 10.4% F (transgender MtF): 65 2.1% M (cisgender): 1821 59.3% M (transgender FtM): 23 0.7% Other: 154 5.016% None: 676 22.0% Country - If multiple possible answers, please choose the one you most identify with. Twelve popular answers are given below; otherwise please write your country into "Other" in the same format as the answers given: United States: 1291 42.1% United Kingdom: 183 6.0% Canada: 144 4.7% Australia: 141 4.6% Germany: 85 2.8% Russia: 56 1.8% Finland: 24 0.8% New Zealand: 26 0.8% India: 24 0.8% Brazil: 16 0.5% France: 34 1.1% Israel: 29 0.9% Other: 352 11.466% None: 664 21.6% Race - With what race do you most identify? "Hispanic" is a term mostly used in the US referring to people whose ethnic background is from Mexico, Central  America, and South America.: Asian (East Asian): 80 2.6% Asian (Indian subcontinent): 60 2.0% Middle Eastern: 14 0.5% Black: 12 0.4% White (non-Hispanic): 2050 66.8% Hispanic: 56 1.8% Other: 107 3.485% None: 681 22.2% Sex, Relationships What is your sexual orientation?: Heterosexual: 1635 53.3% Homosexual: 102 3.3% Bisexual: 425 13.8% Other: 142 4.625% None: 751 24.5% Are you asexual?: Yes: 167 5.4% No: 2121 69.1% N/A: 782 25.5% What is your preferred relationship style?: Prefer monogomous: 1184 38.6% Prefer polyamorous: 424 13.8% Uncertain/no preference: 670 21.8% Other: 45 1.466% None: 745 24.3% Number of Partners: 0: 1090 35.5% 1: 1036 33.7% 2: 106 3.5% 3: 45 1.5% 4: 15 0.5% 5: 8 0.3% Lots and lots: 27 0.9% None: 743 24.2% Relationship Goals: ...and seeking more relationship partners: 576 18.8% ...and possibly open to more relationship partners: 714 23.3% ...and currently not looking for more relationship partners: 1026 33.4% None: 754 24.6% Are you married?: Yes: 438 14.3% No: 1880 61.2% N/A: 752 24.5% Who do you currently live with most of the time?
: Alone: 487 15.9% With parents and/or guardians: 471 15.3% With partner and/or children: 683 22.2% With roommates: 617 20.1% Other: 69 2.248% None: 741 24.1% How many children do you have?: 0: 2036 66.3% 1: 115 3.7% 2: 124 4.0% 3: 46 1.5% 4: 7 0.2% 5: 6 0.2% 6: 2 0.1% Lots and lots: 1 0.0% None: 733 23.9% Are you planning on having more children?: Yes: 716 23.3% Uncertain: 754 24.6% No: 864 28.1% None: 736 24.0% Employment, Occupation, Education What do you currently do?: Student: Yes: 965 31.433% No: 1433 46.678% N/A: 672 21.889% Academics (on the teaching side): Yes: 204 6.645% No: 2194 71.466% N/A: 672 21.889% Self-employed: Yes: 305 9.935% No: 2093 68.176% N/A: 672 21.889% Independently wealthy: Yes: 40 1.303% No: 2358 76.808% N/A: 672 21.889% Non-profit work: Yes: 150 4.886% No: 2248 73.225% N/A: 672 21.889% For-profit work: Yes: 951 30.977% No: 1447 47.134% N/A: 672 21.889% Government work: Yes: 133 4.332% No: 2265 73.779% N/A: 672 21.889% Homemaker: Yes: 46 1.498% No: 2352 76.612% N/A: 672 21.889% Unemployed : Yes: 224 7.296% No: 2174 70.814% N/A: 672 21.889% In what area do you currently work or study?: Philosophy: 54 1.8% Finance / Economics: 115 3.7% Statistics: 43 1.4% Computers (AI): 79 2.6% Computers (other academic, computer science): 155 5.0% Computers (practical: IT, programming, etc.): 681 22.2% Physics: 91 3.0% Biology: 49 1.6% Medicine: 49 1.6% Mathematics: 147 4.8% Neuroscience: 28 0.9% Other "hard science": 26 0.8% Psychology: 48 1.6% Other "social science": 48 1.6% Engineering: 150 4.9% Business: 70 2.3% Law: 50 1.6% Art: 51 1.7% Other: 272 8.86% None: 846 27.6% What is your highest education credential earned?: None: 95 3.1% High School: 613 20.0% 2 year degree: 105 3.4% Bachelor's: 814 26.5% Master's: 414 13.5% JD/MD/other professional degree: 64 2.1% PhD: 143 4.7% Other: 39 1.27% None: 771 25.1% IQ And Other Numbers That Purport To Measure Your Intelligence (Bonus Section) IQ - Please give the score you got on your most recent PROFESSIONAL, SCIENTIFIC IQ test - no Internet tests, please! All tests should have the standard average of  100 and stdev of 15.: Sum: 90772.5 Mean: 138.37271341463415 Median: 138.0 Mode: 135.0 Stdev: 13.637740716950942 IQ Age - At what age, in years, did you take the IQ test above?: Sum: 21529.0 Mean: 32.96937212863706 Median: 17.0 Mode: 16.0 Stdev: 173.22764813649016 IQ Type - Please give a short  description of the IQ test you took, for example "It was Wechsler Adult  Intelligence Scale administered at my school". If you don't remember or  don't know how to describe the test, leave this blank.: SAT scores out of 1600 - American students take the SATs before going to college. In olden days, the test was scored out of 1600. if you have an SAT score out of 1600, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 629305.0 Mean: 1460.1044083526683 Median: 1490.0 Mode: 1600.0 Stdev: 122.3722713463909 SAT scores out of 2400 - American students take the SATs before going to college. Nowadays, the test is scored out of 2400. If you have an SAT score out of 2400, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 1066859.0 Mean: 2208.817805383023 Median: 2240.0 Mode: 2340.0 Stdev: 141.32822782822186 ACT score out of 36 - Some American students take the ACTs before going to college. If you have an ACT score out of 36, please put it here; otherwise leave blank.: Sum: 12351.0 Mean: 32.41732283464567 Median: 33.0 Mode: 35.0 Stdev: 2.8444986929025955 Politics, Religion, Ethics Given that no label can completely describe a person's political views, with which of these labels do you MOST identify?: Libertarian, for example like the US Libertarian Party: socially permissive, minimal/no taxes, minimal/no distribution of wealth: 517 16.8% Conservative, for example the US Republican Party and UK Tories: traditional values, low taxes, low redistribution of wealth: 113 3.7% Liberal, for example the US Democratic Party or the UK Labour Party: socially permissive, more taxes, more redistribution of wealth: 612 19.9% Social democratic, for example Scandinavian countries: socially permissive, high taxes, major redistribution of wealth: 785 25.6% Communist, for example the old Soviet Union: complete state control of many facets of life: 28 0.9% None: 1015 33.1% How would you describe your religious views?: Committed theist: 112 3.6% Lukewarm theist: 80 2.6% Deist/Pantheist/etc.: 55 1.8% Agnostic: 250 8.1% Atheist but spiritual: 170 5.5% Atheist and not spiritual: 1487 48.4% None: 916 29.8% Which best describes the religion you believe?: Christian (Catholic): 71 2.3% Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 19 0.6% Christian (Protestant): 98 3.2% Christian (Mormon): 8 0.3% Hindu: 11 0.4% Buddhist: 39 1.3% Traditional Chinese: 2 0.1% Muslim: 4 0.1% Unitarian Universalism or similar: 26 0.8% Jewish: 55 1.8% Mixed/Other: 49 1.6% Other: 69 2.248% None: 2588 84.3% How would you describe the religious views of your family when you were growing up?: Committed theist: 549 17.9% Lukewarm theist: 713 23.2% Deist/Pantheist/etc: 44 1.4% Agnostic: 246 8.0% Atheist but spiritual: 113 3.7% Atheist and not spiritual: 345 11.2% Mixed / Other: 100 3.3% Other: 41 1.336% None: 918 29.9% What is your family's religious background, as of the last time your family practiced a religion?: Christian (Catholic): 588 19.2% Christian (Other non-Protestant, eg Eastern Orthodox): 158 5.1% Christian (Protestant): 773 25.2% Christian (Mormon): 37 1.2% Hindu: 41 1.3% Buddhist: 17 0.6% Traditional Chinese: 19 0.6% Muslim: 15 0.5% Unitarian Universalism or similar: 44 1.4% Jewish: 205 6.7% Mixed/Other: 96 3.1% Other: 94 3.062% None: 980 31.9% With which of these meta-ethical views do you MOST identify? (Bonus Question): Non-cognitivism: Moral statements don't express propositions and can neither be true nor false. "Murder is wrong" means something like "Boo murder!".: 187 6.1% Error theory: Moral statements have a truth-value, but attempt to describe features of the world that don't exist. "Murder is wrong" and "Murder is right" are both false statements because moral rightness and wrongness aren't features that exist.: 100 3.3% Subjectivism: Some moral statements are true, but not universally, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by non-universal opinions or prescriptions, and there is no non-attitudinal determinant of rightness and wrongness. "Murder is wrong" means something like "My culture has judged murder to be wrong" or "I've judged murder to be wrong".: 552 18.0% Substantive realism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by mind-independent moral properties. "Murder is wrong" means that murder has an objective mind-independent property of wrongness that we discover by empirical investigation, intuition, or some other method.: 342 11.1% Constructivism: Some moral statements are true, and the truth of a moral statement is determined by whether an agent would accept it if they were undergoing a process of rational deliberation. "Murder is wrong" can mean something like "Societal agreement to the rule 'do not murder' is instrumentally rational".: 778 25.3% None: 1111 36.2% Experience With LessWrong How Did You Find LessWrong?: Been here since it was started in the Overcoming Bias days: 171 5.6% Referred by a link: 275 9.0% HPMOR: 542 17.7% Overcoming Bias: 80 2.6% Referred by a friend: 265 8.6% Referred by a search engine: 131 4.3% Referred by other fiction: 14 0.5% Slate Star Codex: 241 7.9% Reddit: 55 1.8% Common Sense Atheism: 19 0.6% Hacker News: 47 1.5% Gwern: 22 0.7% Other: 191 6.221% None: 1018 33.2% How do you use Less Wrong?: I lurk, but never registered an account: 1120 36.5% I've registered an account, but never posted: 270 8.8% I've posted a comment, but never a top-level post: 417 13.6% I've posted in Discussion, but not Main: 179 5.8% I've posted in Main: 72 2.3% None: 1012 33.0% How often do you comment on LessWrong?: I have commented more than once a week for the past year.: 24 0.8% I have commented more than once a month for the past year but less than once a week.: 63 2.1% I have commented but less than once a month for the past year.: 225 7.3% I have not commented this year.: 1718 56.0% None: 1040 33.9% How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?: How Long Since You Last Posted On LessWrong?: I wrote one today.: 12 0.4% Within the last three days.: 13 0.4% Within the last week.: 22 0.7% Within the last month.: 58 1.9% Within the last three months.: 75 2.4% Within the last six months.: 68 2.2% Within the last year.: 84 2.7% Within the last five years.: 295 9.6% Longer than five years.: 15 0.5% I've never posted on LW.: 1242 40.5% None: 1186 38.6%  About how much of  the Sequences - the collection of Eliezer Yudkowsky's original posts -  have you read? You can find a list of them here.: Never knew they existed until this moment: 215 7.0% Knew they existed, but never looked at them: 101 3.3% Some, but less than 25%: 442 14.4% About 25%: 260 8.5% About 50%: 283 9.2% About 75%: 298 9.7% All or almost all: 487 15.9% None: 984 32.1% Do you attend Less Wrong meetups?: Yes, regularly: 157 5.1% Yes, once or a few times: 406 13.2% No: 1518 49.4% None: 989 32.2% Is physical interaction with the Less Wrong community otherwise a part of your everyday life, for example do you live with other Less Wrongers, or you are close friends and frequently go out with them?: Yes, all the time: 158 5.1% Yes, sometimes: 258 8.4% No: 1652 53.8% None: 1002 32.6% Have you ever been in a romantic relationship with someone you met through the Less Wrong community?: Yes: 129 4.2% I didn’t meet them through the community but they’re part of the community now: 102 3.3% No: 1851 60.3% None: 988 32.2% Roko's Basilisk (Bonus Section) Do you know what Roko's Basilisk thought experiment is?: Yes: 1516 49.4% No but I've heard of it: 157 5.1% No: 394 12.8% None: 1003 32.7% Where did you read Roko's argument for the Basilisk?: Roko's post on LessWrong: 323 10.5% Reddit: 171 5.6% XKCD: 60 2.0% LessWrong Wiki: 233 7.6% A news article: 69 2.2% Word of mouth: 222 7.2% RationalWiki: 313 10.2% Other: 193 6.287% None: 1478 48.1% Do you think Roko's argument for the Basilisk is correct?: Yes: 74 2.4% Yes but I don't think it's logical conclusions apply for other reasons: 337 11.0% No: 1052 34.3% None: 1607 52.3% Do you think Basilisk-like thought experiments are dangerous?: Yes, I think they're dangerous for decision theory reasons: 63 2.1% Yes I think they're dangerous for social reasons (eg. A cult might use them): 193 6.3% Yes I think they're dangerous for decision theory and social reasons: 135 4.4% Yes I think they're socially dangerous because they make everybody involved look foolish: 252 8.2% Yes I think they're dangerous for other reasons: 52 1.7% No: 808 26.3% None: 1562 50.9% Have you ever felt any sort of anxiety about the Basilisk?: Yes: 141 4.6% Yes but only because I worry about everything: 189 6.2% No: 1270 41.4% None: 1470 47.9% What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?: What is the longest span of time you've spent worrying about the Basilisk?: I haven't: 712 23.2% A few seconds: 235 7.7% A minute: 298 9.7% An hour: 176 5.7% A day: 40 1.3% Two days: 16 0.5% Three days: 12 0.4% A week: 12 0.4% A month: 5 0.2% One to three months: 1 0.0% Three to six months: 0 0.0% Six to nine months: 0 0.0% Nine months to a year: 1 0.0% Over a year: 1 0.0% Years: 3 0.1% None: 1558 50.7% Are you currently worrying about the Basilisk?: Yes: 28 0.9% Yes but only because I worry about everything: 60 2.0% No: 1517 49.4% None: 1465 47.7% Mental Health (Bonus Section) Have you ever been diagnosed with depression?: No: 0 0.0% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 0 0.0% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 0 0.0% None: 1038 33.8% Have you ever been diagnosed with obsessive compulsive disorder?: No: 1851 60.3% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 113 3.7% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 54 1.8% None: 1052 34.3% Have you ever been diagnosed with any autism spectrum disorder?: No: 1597 52.0% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 258 8.4% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 165 5.4% None: 1050 34.2% Have you ever been diagnosed with any variant of attention deficit disorder?: No: 1541 50.2% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 210 6.8% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 274 8.9% None: 1045 34.0% Have you ever been diagnosed with bipolar disorder?: No: 1917 62.4% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 55 1.8% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 45 1.5% None: 1053 34.3% Have you ever been  diagnosed with any anxiety disorder, eg panic disorder, generalized  anxiety disorder, social anxiety disorder?: No: 1395 45.4% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 352 11.5% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 276 9.0% None: 1047 34.1% Have you ever been diagnosed with borderline personality disorder?: No: 1979 64.5% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 23 0.7% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 12 0.4% None: 1056 34.4% Have you ever been diagnosed with schizophrenia?: No: 2000 65.1% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 7 0.2% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 15 0.5% None: 1048 34.1% Have you ever been diagnosed with substance use disorder?: No: 1923 62.6% Not formally, but I personally believe I have (or had) it: 73 2.4% Yes, I was formally diagnosed by a doctor or other mental health professional: 25 0.8% None: 1049 34.2% Have you ever wondered whether you might have a substance abuse problem?: Yes: 313 10.2% Yes but only because I worry about everything: 197 6.4% No: 1514 49.3% None: 1046 34.1% Have your friends and family ever expressed concern that you are abusing substances?: Yes: 157 5.1% Yes but only because they worry about everything: 112 3.6% Yes but only because they're suspicious of pharmaceutical medication: 50 1.6% No: 1708 55.6% None: 1043 34.0% What were the biggest problems with LessWrong at its peak? Philosophical Issues: Over Reliance On The Sequences.: Yes: 341 11.107% No: 1722 56.091% N/A: 1007 32.801% Focus On AI.: Yes: 257 8.371% No: 1806 58.827% N/A: 1007 32.801% Focus On Cryonics.: Yes: 254 8.274% No: 1809 58.925% N/A: 1007 32.801% Criticism Of The Scientific Method.: Yes: 119 3.876% No: 1944 63.322% N/A: 1007 32.801% Too Much Jargon.: Yes: 482 15.7% No: 1581 51.498% N/A: 1007 32.801% Too Focused On Abstract Junk.: Yes: 241 7.85% No: 1822 59.349% N/A: 1007 32.801% I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. : Yes: 917 29.87% No: 1146 37.329% N/A: 1007 32.801% [Write in below]: Yes: 199 6.482% No: 1864 60.717% N/A: 1007 32.801% [Write in below]: Yes: 39 1.27% No: 2024 65.928% N/A: 1007 32.801% Write in one:: Write in two:: Community Issues: Not Enough In Person Interaction.: Yes: 163 5.309% No: 1900 61.889% N/A: 1007 32.801% Overly High Standards For Content Submission.: Yes: 197 6.417% No: 1866 60.782% N/A: 1007 32.801% Failure to cite sources.: Yes: 158 5.147% No: 1905 62.052% N/A: 1007 32.801% Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest.: Yes: 161 5.244% No: 1902 61.954% N/A: 1007 32.801% Lame Forum Software.: Yes: 218 7.101% No: 1845 60.098% N/A: 1007 32.801% Too Autistic.: Yes: 114 3.713% No: 1949 63.485% N/A: 1007 32.801% Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks.: Yes: 146 4.756% No: 1917 62.443% N/A: 1007 32.801% Too Tolerant Of Laziness.: Yes: 65 2.117% No: 1998 65.081% N/A: 1007 32.801% Too Tolerant Of Creepy People.: Yes: 83 2.704% No: 1980 64.495% N/A: 1007 32.801% Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction.: Yes: 125 4.072% No: 1938 63.127% N/A: 1007 32.801% Too Tolerant Of Progressivism.: Yes: 30 0.977% No: 2033 66.221% N/A: 1007 32.801% Literally A Cult. : Yes: 119 3.876% No: 1944 63.322% N/A: 1007 32.801% I Wasn't Around For Its Peak. : Yes: 842 27.427% No: 1221 39.772% N/A: 1007 32.801% [Write in below]: Yes: 199 6.482% No: 1864 60.717% N/A: 1007 32.801% [Write in below]: Yes: 30 0.977% No: 2033 66.221% N/A: 1007 32.801% Write in one:: Write in two:: What are the biggest problems with LessWrong now? Philosophical Issues: Over Reliance On The Sequences.: Yes: 314 10.228% No: 1719 55.993% N/A: 1037 33.779% Focus On AI.: Yes: 244 7.948% No: 1789 58.274% N/A: 1037 33.779% Focus On Cryonics.: Yes: 180 5.863% No: 1853 60.358% N/A: 1037 33.779% Criticism Of The Scientific Method.: Yes: 73 2.378% No: 1960 63.844% N/A: 1037 33.779% Too Much Jargon.: Yes: 429 13.974% No: 1604 52.248% N/A: 1037 33.779% Too Focused On Abstract Junk.: Yes: 257 8.371% No: 1776 57.85% N/A: 1037 33.779% [Write in below]: Yes: 185 6.026% No: 1848 60.195% N/A: 1037 33.779% [Write in below]: Yes: 31 1.01% No: 2002 65.212% N/A: 1037 33.779% Write in one:: Write in two:: Community Issues: No New Content: Yes: 417 13.583% No: 1616 52.638% N/A: 1037 33.779% No New *Good* Content: Yes: 811 26.417% No: 1222 39.805% N/A: 1037 33.779% Can't Find Things Quickly Enough To Maintain Interest: Yes: 269 8.762% No: 1764 57.459% N/A: 1037 33.779% Lame Forum Software: Yes: 251 8.176% No: 1782 58.046% N/A: 1037 33.779% Decline from new people coming in who don't understand the culture: Yes: 217 7.068% No: 1816 59.153% N/A: 1037 33.779% Decline from evaporative cooling (http://lesswrong.com/lw/lr/evaporative_cooling_of_group_beliefs/): Yes: 287 9.349% No: 1746 56.873% N/A: 1037 33.779% Decline from dunning kruger where competent refrain from posting what they feel to be sub par content (and by extension, posting content at all) but incompetent don't : Yes: 382 12.443% No: 1651 53.779% N/A: 1037 33.779% Not Enough In Person Interaction: Yes: 127 4.137% No: 1906 62.085% N/A: 1037 33.779% Overly High Standards For Content Submission: Yes: 123 4.007% No: 1910 62.215% N/A: 1037 33.779% Failure to cite sources: Yes: 87 2.834% No: 1946 63.388% N/A: 1037 33.779% Too Autistic: Yes: 106 3.453% No: 1927 62.769% N/A: 1037 33.779% Too Tolerant Of Trolls/Cranks: Yes: 135 4.397% No: 1898 61.824% N/A: 1037 33.779% Too Tolerant Of Laziness: Yes: 65 2.117% No: 1968 64.104% N/A: 1037 33.779% Too Tolerant Of Creepy People: Yes: 67 2.182% No: 1966 64.039% N/A: 1037 33.779% Too Tolerant Of Neoreaction: Yes: 111 3.616% No: 1922 62.606% N/A: 1037 33.779% Too Tolerant Of Progressivism: Yes: 46 1.498% No: 1987 64.723% N/A: 1037 33.779% Literally A Cult : Yes: 86 2.801% No: 1947 63.42% N/A: 1037 33.779% [Write in below]: Yes: 189 6.156% No: 1844 60.065% N/A: 1037 33.779% [Write in below]: Yes: 38 1.238% No: 1995 64.984% N/A: 1037 33.779% Write in one:: Write in two:: What would you want from a successor? Philosophically: Attention Paid To Outside Sources: More: 1042 33.941% Same: 414 13.485% Less: 13 0.423% None: 1601 52.15% Self Improvement Focus: More: 754 24.56% Same: 598 19.479% Less: 135 4.397% None: 1583 51.564% AI Focus: More: 184 5.993% Same: 821 26.743% Less: 454 14.788% None: 1611 52.476% Political: More: 330 10.749% Same: 770 25.081% Less: 345 11.238% None: 1625 52.932% Academic/Formal: More: 455 14.821% Same: 803 26.156% Less: 169 5.505% None: 1643 53.518% [Write in your own]: More: 145 4.723% Same: 44 1.433% Less: 29 0.945% None: 2852 92.899% [Write in your own]: More: 39 1.27% Same: 20 0.651% Less: 17 0.554% None: 2994 97.524% [Write in your own]: More: 23 0.749% Same: 9 0.293% Less: 8 0.261% None: 3030 98.697% Write in one:: Write in two:: Write in three:: Community: Intense Environment: More: 254 8.274% Same: 830 27.036% Less: 209 6.808% None: 1777 57.883% Focused On 'Real World' Action: More: 739 24.072% Same: 563 18.339% Less: 71 2.313% None: 1697 55.277% Experts: More: 749 24.397% Same: 575 18.73% Less: 23 0.749% None: 1723 56.124% Data Driven/Testing Of Ideas: More: 1107 36.059% Same: 291 9.479% Less: 15 0.489% None: 1657 53.974% Social: More: 583 18.99% Same: 682 22.215% Less: 75 2.443% None: 1730 56.352% [Write in your own]: More: 68 2.215% Same: 9 0.293% Less: 20 0.651% None: 2973 96.84% [Write in your own]: More: 20 0.651% Same: 10 0.326% Less: 5 0.163% None: 3035 98.86% [Write in your own]: More: 11 0.358% Same: 4 0.13% Less: 1 0.033% None: 3054 99.479% Write in one:: Write in two:: Write in three:: Where do you hang out now? I'm Currently An Active Member Of: LessWrong: Yes: 353 11.498% No: 1597 52.02% N/A: 1120 36.482% LessWrong Meetups: Yes: 215 7.003% No: 1735 56.515% N/A: 1120 36.482% LessWrong Facebook Group: Yes: 171 5.57% No: 1779 57.948% N/A: 1120 36.482% LessWrong Slack: Yes: 55 1.792% No: 1895 61.726% N/A: 1120 36.482% SlateStarCodex: Yes: 832 27.101% No: 1118 36.417% N/A: 1120 36.482% Rationalist Tumblr: Yes: 350 11.401% No: 1600 52.117% N/A: 1120 36.482% Rationalist Facebook: Yes: 150 4.886% No: 1800 58.632% N/A: 1120 36.482% Rationalist Twitter: Yes: 59 1.922% No: 1891 61.596% N/A: 1120 36.482% Effective Altruism Hub: Yes: 98 3.192% No: 1852 60.326% N/A: 1120 36.482% FortForecast: Yes: 4 0.13% No: 1946 63.388% N/A: 1120 36.482% Good Judgement(TM) Open: Yes: 29 0.945% No: 1921 62.573% N/A: 1120 36.482% PredictionBook: Yes: 59 1.922% No: 1891 61.596% N/A: 1120 36.482% Omnilibrium: Yes: 8 0.261% No: 1942 63.257% N/A: 1120 36.482% Hacker News: Yes: 252 8.208% No: 1698 55.309% N/A: 1120 36.482% #lesswrong on freenode : Yes: 76 2.476% No: 1874 61.042% N/A: 1120 36.482% #slatestarcodex on freenode: Yes: 36 1.173% No: 1914 62.345% N/A: 1120 36.482% #hplusroadmap on freenode: Yes: 4 0.13% No: 1946 63.388% N/A: 1120 36.482% #chapelperilous on freenode: Yes: 10 0.326% No: 1940 63.192% N/A: 1120 36.482% /r/rational: Yes: 274 8.925% No: 1676 54.593% N/A: 1120 36.482% /r/HPMOR: Yes: 230 7.492% No: 1720 56.026% N/A: 1120 36.482% /r/SlateStarCodex: Yes: 244 7.948% No: 1706 55.57% N/A: 1120 36.482% One or more private 'rationalist' groups : Yes: 192 6.254% No: 1758 57.264% N/A: 1120 36.482% Other: Yes: 0 0.0% No: 0 0.0% N/A: 0 0.0% Would you consider rejoining LessWrong?: I never left: 668 21.8% Yes: 557 18.1% Yes, but only under certain conditions: 205 6.7% No: 216 7.0% None: 1424 46.4% If you would only rejoin under certain conditions, what would those be?: Interests And Media Do You Read These Blogs: LessWrong: Regular Reader: 237 7.72% Sometimes: 642 20.912% Rarely: 535 17.427% Almost Never: 271 8.827% Never: 69 2.248% Never Heard Of It: 13 0.423% None: 1303 42.443% SlateStarCodex (Scott Alexander): Regular Reader: 1131 36.84% Sometimes: 264 8.599% Rarely: 90 2.932% Almost Never: 61 1.987% Never: 51 1.661% Never Heard Of It: 181 5.896% None: 1292 42.085% Overcoming Bias (Robin Hanson): Regular Reader: 206 6.71% Sometimes: 365 11.889% Rarely: 391 12.736% Almost Never: 385 12.541% Never: 239 7.785% Never Heard Of It: 167 5.44% None: 1317 42.899% Minding Our Way (Nate Soares): Regular Reader: 151 4.919% Sometimes: 134 4.365% Rarely: 139 4.528% Almost Never: 175 5.7% Never: 214 6.971% Never Heard Of It: 919 29.935% None: 1338 43.583% Agenty Duck (Brienne Yudkowsky): Regular Reader: 55 1.792% Sometimes: 132 4.3% Rarely: 144 4.691% Almost Never: 213 6.938% Never: 254 8.274% Never Heard Of It: 931 30.326% None: 1341 43.681% Eliezer Yudkowsky's Facebook Page: Regular Reader: 325 10.586% Sometimes: 316 10.293% Rarely: 231 7.524% Almost Never: 267 8.697% Never: 361 11.759% Never Heard Of It: 251 8.176% None: 1319 42.964% Luke Muehlhauser (Eponymous): Regular Reader: 59 1.922% Sometimes: 106 3.453% Rarely: 179 5.831% Almost Never: 231 7.524% Never: 312 10.163% Never Heard Of It: 835 27.199% None: 1348 43.909% Gwern.net (Gwern Branwen): Regular Reader: 118 3.844% Sometimes: 281 9.153% Rarely: 292 9.511% Almost Never: 224 7.296% Never: 230 7.492% Never Heard Of It: 595 19.381% None: 1330 43.322% Siderea (Sibylla Bostoniensis): Regular Reader: 29 0.945% Sometimes: 49 1.596% Rarely: 59 1.922% Almost Never: 104 3.388% Never: 183 5.961% Never Heard Of It: 1300 42.345% None: 1346 43.844% BlogsRead2: Ribbon Farm (Venkatesh Rao): Regular Reader: 64 2.085% Sometimes: 123 4.007% Rarely: 111 3.616% Almost Never: 150 4.886% Never: 150 4.886% Never Heard Of It: 1116 36.352% None: 1356 44.169% Bayesed And Confused (Michael Rupert): Regular Reader: 2 0.065% Sometimes: 10 0.326% Rarely: 24 0.782% Almost Never: 68 2.215% Never: 167 5.44% Never Heard Of It: 1434 46.71% None: 1365 44.463% The Unit Of Caring (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 281 9.153% Sometimes: 132 4.3% Rarely: 126 4.104% Almost Never: 178 5.798% Never: 216 7.036% Never Heard Of It: 775 25.244% None: 1362 44.365% GiveWell Blog (Multiple Authors): Regular Reader: 75 2.443% Sometimes: 197 6.417% Rarely: 243 7.915% Almost Never: 280 9.121% Never: 412 13.42% Never Heard Of It: 482 15.7% None: 1380 44.951% Thing Of Things (Ozy Frantz): Regular Reader: 363 11.824% Sometimes: 201 6.547% Rarely: 143 4.658% Almost Never: 171 5.57% Never: 176 5.733% Never Heard Of It: 661 21.531% None: 1355 44.137% The Last Psychiatrist (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 103 3.355% Sometimes: 94 3.062% Rarely: 164 5.342% Almost Never: 221 7.199% Never: 302 9.837% Never Heard Of It: 826 26.906% None: 1360 44.3% Hotel Concierge (Anonymous): Regular Reader: 29 0.945% Sometimes: 35 1.14% Rarely: 49 1.596% Almost Never: 88 2.866% Never: 179 5.831% Never Heard Of It: 1315 42.834% None: 1375 44.788% The View From Hell (Sister Y): Regular Reader: 34 1.107% Sometimes: 39 1.27% Rarely: 75 2.443% Almost Never: 137 4.463% Never: 250 8.143% Never Heard Of It: 1167 38.013% None: 1368 44.56% Xenosystems (Nick Land): Regular Reader: 51 1.661% Sometimes: 32 1.042% Rarely: 64 2.085% Almost Never: 175 5.7% Never: 364 11.857% Never Heard Of It: 1007 32.801% None: 1377 44.853% Are there any noteworthy blogs you read that we missed above?: Have You Read These Stories?: Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality (Eliezer Yudkowsky): Whole Thing: 1103 35.928% Partially And Intend To Finish: 145 4.723% Partially And Abandoned: 231 7.524% Never: 221 7.199% Never Heard Of It: 81 2.638% None: 1289 41.987% Significant Digits (Alexander D): Whole Thing: 123 4.007% Partially And Intend To Finish: 105 3.42% Partially And Abandoned: 91 2.964% Never: 333 10.847% Never Heard Of It: 1077 35.081% None: 1341 43.681% Three Worlds Collide (Eliezer Yudkowsky): Whole Thing: 889 28.958% Partially And Intend To Finish: 35 1.14% Partially And Abandoned: 36 1.173% Never: 286 9.316% Never Heard Of It: 489 15.928% None: 1335 43.485% The Fable of the Dragon-Tyrant (Nick Bostrom): Whole Thing: 728 23.713% Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 1.01% Partially And Abandoned: 15 0.489% Never: 205 6.678% Never Heard Of It: 757 24.658% None: 1334 43.453% The World of Null-A (A. E. van Vogt): Whole Thing: 92 2.997% Partially And Intend To Finish: 18 0.586% Partially And Abandoned: 25 0.814% Never: 429 13.974% Never Heard Of It: 1159 37.752% None: 1347 43.876% Synthesis (Sharon Mitchell): Whole Thing: 6 0.195% Partially And Intend To Finish: 2 0.065% Partially And Abandoned: 8 0.261% Never: 217 7.068% Never Heard Of It: 1469 47.85% None: 1368 44.56% Worm (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 501 16.319% Partially And Intend To Finish: 168 5.472% Partially And Abandoned: 184 5.993% Never: 430 14.007% Never Heard Of It: 454 14.788% None: 1333 43.42% Pact (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 138 4.495% Partially And Intend To Finish: 59 1.922% Partially And Abandoned: 148 4.821% Never: 501 16.319% Never Heard Of It: 881 28.697% None: 1343 43.746% Twig (Wildbow): Whole Thing: 55 1.792% Partially And Intend To Finish: 132 4.3% Partially And Abandoned: 65 2.117% Never: 560 18.241% Never Heard Of It: 911 29.674% None: 1347 43.876% StoriesRead2: Ra (Sam Hughes): Whole Thing: 269 8.762% Partially And Intend To Finish: 80 2.606% Partially And Abandoned: 95 3.094% Never: 314 10.228% Never Heard Of It: 971 31.629% None: 1341 43.681% My Little Pony: Friendship Is Optimal (Iceman): Whole Thing: 424 13.811% Partially And Intend To Finish: 16 0.521% Partially And Abandoned: 65 2.117% Never: 559 18.208% Never Heard Of It: 667 21.726% None: 1339 43.616% Friendship Is Optimal: Caelum Est Conterrens (Chatoyance): Whole Thing: 217 7.068% Partially And Intend To Finish: 16 0.521% Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.782% Never: 411 13.388% Never Heard Of It: 1040 33.876% None: 1362 44.365% Ender's Game (Orson Scott Card): Whole Thing: 1177 38.339% Partially And Intend To Finish: 22 0.717% Partially And Abandoned: 43 1.401% Never: 395 12.866% Never Heard Of It: 114 3.713% None: 1319 42.964% The Diamond Age (Neal Stephenson): Whole Thing: 440 14.332% Partially And Intend To Finish: 37 1.205% Partially And Abandoned: 55 1.792% Never: 577 18.795% Never Heard Of It: 627 20.423% None: 1334 43.453% Consider Phlebas (Iain Banks): Whole Thing: 302 9.837% Partially And Intend To Finish: 52 1.694% Partially And Abandoned: 47 1.531% Never: 439 14.3% Never Heard Of It: 885 28.827% None: 1345 43.811% The Metamorphosis Of Prime Intellect (Roger Williams): Whole Thing: 226 7.362% Partially And Intend To Finish: 10 0.326% Partially And Abandoned: 24 0.782% Never: 322 10.489% Never Heard Of It: 1126 36.678% None: 1362 44.365% Accelerando (Charles Stross): Whole Thing: 293 9.544% Partially And Intend To Finish: 46 1.498% Partially And Abandoned: 66 2.15% Never: 425 13.844% Never Heard Of It: 889 28.958% None: 1351 44.007% A Fire Upon The Deep (Vernor Vinge): Whole Thing: 343 11.173% Partially And Intend To Finish: 31 1.01% Partially And Abandoned: 41 1.336% Never: 508 16.547% Never Heard Of It: 812 26.45% None: 1335 43.485% Machine Intelligence Research Institute Do you know what the Machine Intelligence Research Institute is?: Yes: 1541 50.2% No but I've heard of it: 174 5.7% No: 93 3.0% None: 1262 41.1% Have you ever read a paper from the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?: Yes: 466 15.2% Partially: 497 16.2% No: 843 27.5% None: 1264 41.2% Would you consider working for the Machine Intelligence Research Institute?: Yes: 971 31.6% No: 801 26.1% N/A: 1298 42.3% Do you think you're trustworthy enough not to let an AI out of the box?: Yes: 471 15.3% No: 1244 40.5% N/A: 1355 44.1% Have you ever practiced not letting an AI out of the box?: Yes with Eliezer's Ruleset: 20 0.7% Yes with Tuxedage's Ruleset: 5 0.2% Yes with a different ruleset: 18 0.6% No but I've been the AI: 40 1.3% No: 1687 55.0% None: 1300 42.3% On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "MIRI's mission of  doing mathematical research relevant to friendly self-improving  artificial intelligence is very important.": 1.0: 95 3.094% 2.0: 189 6.156% 3.0: 356 11.596% 4.0: 526 17.134% 5.0: 537 17.492% 5.0: 1367 44.528% On a scale of one to five (where one is "Strongly disagree" and five is "Strongly agree"), rate how much you agree with this statement: "Whether or not I  agree with MIRI's goals, I believe MIRI is a well-run organization that  pursues its goals effectively.": 1.0: 102 3.322% 2.0: 226 7.362% 3.0: 772 25.147% 4.0: 342 11.14% 5.0: 109 3.55% 5.0: 1519 49.479% Center For Applied Rationality (Bonus Section) Do you know what the Center For Applied Rationality is?: Yes: 1286 41.9% No but I've heard of it: 285 9.3% No: 178 5.8% None: 1321 43.0% Have you attended CFAR?: No, and I don't plan to: 848 27.6% No, and I would like to: 731 23.8% I have attended a paid or volunteer program with CFAR: 109 3.6% I have led a program at CFAR: 8 0.3% None: 1374 44.8% Think about your current set of skills, your habits, the things you spend your time on, how you interact with other people, the intellectual questions that you find engaging, the goals you’re aiming towards, and the challenges that you’re currently facing going forward. Next, think about how you were one year ago on each of these dimensions. How different are you now from how you were one year ago?: Not at all different: 107 3.5% Slightly different: 565 18.4% Somewhat different: 674 22.0% Very different: 315 10.3% Extremely different : 0 0.0% None: 1344 43.8% (optional) In about one sentence, what is one difference that stands out as being particularly large or significant?: (Optional) Can you think of any changes that you’ve made in the past month to your daily routines or habits in order to make things go better? These can be tiny changes (e.g., adjusted the curtains on my bedroom window so that less light comes in while I’m sleeping) or large ones. Spend about 60 seconds recalling as many examples of these kinds of changes as you can and listing them here. (If you want to skip this question, leave it blank. If you spend the 60 seconds and no specific examples come to mind, write "none."):

What's your overall opinion of the Center For Applied Rationality?

: Positive: 376 12.2% Mostly Positive: 412 13.4% No strong opinion: 799 26.0% Mostly Negative: 63 2.1% Negative: 16 0.5% None: 1404 45.7% Effective Altruism (Bonus Section) Do you know what Effective Altruism is?: Yes: 1562 50.9% No but I've heard of it: 114 3.7% No: 74 2.4% None: 1320 43.0% Do you self-identify as an Effective Altruist?: Yes: 665 21.7% No: 1030 33.6% N/A: 1375 44.8% Do you participate in the Effective Altruism community?: Yes: 314 10.2% No: 1390 45.3% N/A: 1366 44.5% Has Effective Altruism caused you to make donations you otherwise wouldn't?: Yes: 666 21.7% No: 1030 33.6% N/A: 1374 44.8% Have you ever had any kind of moral anxiety over Effective Altruism?: Yes: 501 16.3% Yes but only because I worry about everything: 184 6.0% No: 1008 32.8% None: 1377 44.9% What's your overall opinion of Effective Altruism?: Positive: 809 26.4% Mostly Positive: 535 17.4% No strong opinion: 258 8.4% Mostly Negative: 75 2.4% Negative: 24 0.8% None: 1369 44.6% Politics (Bonus Section) With which of these political positions do you most identify?: Progressive: 217 7.1% Communist: 12 0.4% Socialist: 125 4.1% Conservative: 38 1.2% Fascist: 5 0.2% Neoreactionary: 28 0.9% Social Democrat: 236 7.7% Moderate: 67 2.2% Pragmatist: 131 4.3% Anarchist: 50 1.6% Libertarian: 190 6.2% Left-Libertarian: 243 7.9% Objectivist: 10 0.3% Monarchist: 5 0.2% Futarchist: 31 1.0% Totalitarian: 2 0.1% Other: 125 4.072% None: 1549 50.5% Did you vote in your country's last major national election?: Yes: 1151 37.5% No: 511 16.6% My country does not hold elections: 8 0.3% None: 1400 45.6% If you are an American, what party are you registered with?: Democratic Party: 358 11.7% Republican Party: 72 2.3% Libertarian Party: 26 0.8% Other third party: 16 0.5% Not registered for a party: 451 14.7% (option for non-Americans who want an option): 541 17.6% None: 1606 52.3% On a scale from 1  (not interested at all) to 5 (extremely interested), how would you  describe your level of interest in politics?: 1.0: 67 2.182% 2.0: 257 8.371% 3.0: 461 15.016% 4.0: 595 19.381% 5.0: 312 10.163% 5.0: 1378 44.886% How would you describe your opinion on abortion laws?: Abortion: Pro-Life: 104 3.388% Lean Pro-Life: 97 3.16% No strong opinion: 77 2.508% Lean Pro-Choice: 263 8.567% Pro-Choice: 1154 37.59% None: 1375 44.788% How would you describe your opinion on immigration?: Immigration: Should be more open: 670 21.824% Lean more open: 504 16.417% No strong opinion: 264 8.599% Lean more restricted: 140 4.56% Should be more restricted: 106 3.453% None: 1386 45.147% How would you describe your opinion on taxes in your country?: Taxes: Should be lower: 224 7.296% Lean towards lower: 237 7.72% No strong opinion: 544 17.72% Lean towards higher: 415 13.518% Should be higher: 263 8.567% None: 1387 45.179% How would you describe your opinion on minimum wage laws in your country?: Minimum Wage: Should be lower or eliminated: 287 9.349% Lean towards lower or eliminated: 202 6.58% No strong opinion: 509 16.58% Lean towards higher: 383 12.476% Should be higher: 293 9.544% None: 1396 45.472% How would you describe your opinion of feminism, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Feminism for more information: Feminism: Very unfavorable: 149 4.853% Unfavorable: 249 8.111% No strong opinion: 252 8.208% Favorable: 610 19.87% Very favorable: 416 13.55% None: 1394 45.407% How would you describe your opinion of social justice, as you understand the term? See also http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_justice for more information: Social Justice: Very unfavorable: 339 11.042% Unfavorable: 369 12.02% No strong opinion: 290 9.446% Favorable: 461 15.016% Very favorable: 209 6.808% None: 1402 45.668% How would you  describe your opinion of the idea of "human biodiversity", as you  understand the term? No Wiki page available, but essentially it is the  belief that there are important genetic differences between human  populations and that therefore ideas generally considered racist, such  as different races having different average intelligence or personality  traits, are in fact scientifically justified: Human Biodiversity: Very unfavorable: 228 7.427% Unfavorable: 381 12.41% No strong opinion: 517 16.84% Favorable: 399 12.997% Very favorable: 129 4.202% None: 1416 46.124% How would you describe your opinion of a Basic Income Guarantee in your country? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Basic_Income_Guarantee for more information.: Basic Income: Strongly oppose: 63 2.052% Oppose: 110 3.583% No strong opinion: 260 8.469% Support: 624 20.326% Strongly support: 619 20.163% None: 1394 45.407% Do you believe we  are currently in or entering a "Great Stagnation", as proposed by Tyler  Cowen and Peter Thiel, during which technological growth slows  drastically? See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Great_Stagnation for more information: Great Stagnation: Strongly doubt: 269 8.762% Doubt: 635 20.684% No strong opinion: 553 18.013% Believe: 157 5.114% Strongly believe: 28 0.912% None: 1428 46.515% Calibration Questions Do you understand the instructions above?: Yes, I understand I should answer in percentages between 0 and 100: 1639 53.4% No, I don't read instructions and am going to ruin the survey results for everyone: 43 1.4% None: 1388 45.2% CalibrationQuestions: Probabilities ProbabilityQuestions: : Please give the obvious answer to this question, so I can automatically throw away all surveys that don't follow the rules: What is the probability of a fair coin coming up heads? : Sum: 79913.9989998995 Mean: 49.82169513709445 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 Stdev: 3.0335516853602247 What is the probability that the Many Worlds interpretation of quantum mechanics is more or less correct?: Sum: 57667.2765532332 Mean: 44.59959516878051 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 Stdev: 29.193759200633124 What is the probability that non-human, non-Earthly intelligent life exists in the observable universe?: Sum: 108971.29058158398 Mean: 75.72709560916192 Median: 90.0 Mode: 99.0 Stdev: 31.89339696930562 ...in the Milky Way galaxy?: Sum: 62974.32026926869 Mean: 45.966657130853065 Median: 50.0 Mode: 10.0 Stdev: 38.39586433271989 What is the probability that supernatural events (including God, ghosts, magic, etc) have occurred since the beginning of the universe?: Sum: 12584.604712170929 Mean: 13.575625363722654 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 Stdev: 27.576208372697486 What is the probability that there is a god, defined as a supernatural intelligent entity who created the universe?: Sum: 15505.547953131427 Mean: 15.474598755620159 Median: 1.0 Mode: 1.0 Stdev: 27.891434891369965 What is the probability that any of humankind's revealed religions is more or less correct?: Sum: 8573.60632673673 Mean: 10.624047492858365 Median: 50.0% Mode: 1.0 Stdev: 26.257350238788074 What is the probability that an average person cryonically frozen today will be successfully restored to life at some future time, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization before then?: Sum: 29397.64525290689 Mean: 21.225736644698124 Median: 10.0 Mode: 5.0 Stdev: 26.782993912650962 What is the probability that at least one person living at this moment will reach an age of one thousand years, conditional on no global catastrophe destroying civilization in that time?: Sum: 34307.58545244187 Mean: 25.26331771166561 Median: 10.0 Mode: 1.0 Stdev: 30.5106781146967 What is the probability that our universe is a simulation?: Sum: 30383.535304433874 Mean: 25.25647157475802 Median: 10.0 Mode: 50.0 Stdev: 28.404941122960626 What is the probability that significant global warming is occurring or will soon occur, and is primarily caused by human actions?: Sum: 121545.09299969983 Mean: 83.30712337196704 Median: 90.0 Mode: 90.0 Stdev: 23.167415441959694 What is the probability that the human race will make it to 2100 without any catastrophe that wipes out more than 90% of humanity?: Sum: 111031.97345414276 Mean: 76.31063467638681 Median: 80.0 Mode: 80.0 Stdev: 22.93312595923684 Futurology Cryonics (Section Header): Are you signed up for cryonics?: Yes - signed up or just finishing up paperwork: 48 1.6% No - would like to sign up but unavailable in my area: 104 3.4% No - would like to sign up but haven't gotten around to it: 180 5.9% No - would like to sign up but can't afford it: 229 7.5% No - still considering it: 557 18.1% No - and do not want to sign up for cryonics: 468 15.2% Never thought about it / don't understand: 68 2.2% None: 1416 46.1% Do you think cryonics, as currently practiced by Alcor/Cryonics Institute will work?: Yes: 106 3.5% Maybe: 1041 33.9% No: 470 15.3% None: 1453 47.3% Do you think cryonics works in principle?: Yes: 802 26.1% Maybe: 701 22.8% No: 125 4.1% None: 1442 47.0% Singularity (Section Header): By what year do you think the Singularity will occur? Answer such that you think, conditional on the Singularity occurring, there is an even chance of the Singularity falling before or after this year. If you think a  singularity is so unlikely you don't even want to condition on it, leave this question blank.: Sum: 1.0000000000590109e+20 Mean: 8.110300081581757e+16 Median: 2080.0 Mode: 2100.0 Stdev: 2.847858859055733e+18 Have you ever made any kind of personal health change with the goal of living to see the singularity? (If multiple please separate with commas.): Superbabies (Section Header): Would you ever consider having your child genetically modified for any reason?: Yes: 1552 50.6% No: 66 2.1% N/A: 1452 47.3% Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified to prevent them from getting an inheritable disease?: Yes: 1387 45.2% Depends on the disease: 207 6.7% No: 28 0.9% None: 1448 47.2% Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for improvement purposes? (eg. To heighten their intelligence or reduce their risk of schizophrenia.): Yes : 0 0.0% Maybe a little: 176 5.7% Depends on the strength of the improvements: 262 8.5% No: 84 2.7% None: 1451 47.3% Would you be willing to have your child genetically modified for cosmetic reasons? (eg. To make them taller or have a certain eye color.): Yes: 500 16.3% Maybe a little: 381 12.4% Depends on the strength of the improvements: 277 9.0% No: 455 14.8% None: 1457 47.5% What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for disease prevention purposes?: Positive: 1177 38.3% Mostly Positive: 311 10.1% No strong opinion: 112 3.6% Mostly Negative: 29 0.9% Negative: 12 0.4% None: 1429 46.5% What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for improvement purposes?: Positive: 737 24.0% Mostly Positive: 482 15.7% No strong opinion: 273 8.9% Mostly Negative: 111 3.6% Negative: 38 1.2% None: 1429 46.5% What's your overall opinion of other people genetically modifying their children for cosmetic reasons?: Positive: 291 9.5% Mostly Positive: 290 9.4% No strong opinion: 576 18.8% Mostly Negative: 328 10.7% Negative: 157 5.1% None: 1428 46.5% Technological Unemployment (Futurology Part 2) Do you think the Luddite's Fallacy is an actual fallacy?: Yes: 443 14.4% No: 989 32.2% N/A: 1638 53.4% By what year do you think the majority of people in your country will have trouble finding employment for automation related reasons? If you think this is something that will never happen leave this question blank.: Sum: 2203914.0 Mean: 2102.9713740458014 Median: 2050.0 Mode: 2050.0 Stdev: 1180.2342850727339 Do you think the "end of work" would be a good thing?: Yes: 1238 40.3% No: 285 9.3% N/A: 1547 50.4% If machines end all or almost all employment, what are your biggest worries? Pick two.: People will just idle about in destructive ways: Yes: 513 16.71% No: 1179 38.404% N/A: 1378 44.886% People need work to be fulfilled and if we eliminate work we'll all feel deep existential angst: Yes: 543 17.687% No: 1149 37.427% N/A: 1378 44.886% The rich are going to take all the resources for themselves and leave the rest of us to starve or live in poverty: Yes: 1066 34.723% No: 626 20.391% N/A: 1378 44.886% The machines won't need us, and we'll starve to death or be otherwise liquidated: Yes: 416 13.55% No: 1276 41.564% N/A: 1378 44.886% Other: Yes: 0 0.0% No: 0 0.0% N/A: 0 0.0% The next question isn't exactly related to technological unemployment, but making a part three for one question seemed impractical.: Which disaster do you think is most likely to wipe out greater than 90% of humanity before the year 2100?: Nuclear war: 326 10.6% Asteroid strike: 64 2.1% Unfriendly AI: 271 8.8% Nanotech / grey goo: 18 0.6% Pandemic (natural): 120 3.9% Pandemic (bioengineered): 355 11.6% Environmental collapse (including global warming): 252 8.2% Economic / political collapse: 136 4.4% Other: 35 1.14% None: 1491 48.6% Charity (Bonus Section) What is your approximate annual income in US dollars (non-Americans: convert at www.xe.com)? Obviously you don't need to answer this question if you don't want to. Please don't include commas or dollar signs.: Sum: 66054140.47384 Mean: 64569.05227159335 Median: 40000.0 Mode: 30000.0 Stdev: 107297.53606321265 How much money, in number of dollars, have you donated to charity over the past year? (non-Americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/ ). Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. For example, 4000: Sum: 2389900.6530000004 Mean: 2914.5129914634144 Median: 353.0 Mode: 100.0 Stdev: 9471.96276689667 How much money have you donated to charities aiming to reduce existential risk (other than MIRI/CFAR) in the past year?: Sum: 169300.89 Mean: 1991.7751764705883 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 Stdev: 9219.941506342007 How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: How much have you donated in US dollars to the following charities in the past year? (Non-americans: convert to dollars at http://www.xe.com/) Please don't include commas or dollar signs in your answer. Options starting with "any" aren't the name of a charity but a category of charity.: Against Malaria Foundation: Sum: 483935.027 Mean: 1905.2560118110237 Median: 300.0 Mode:All values found equally likely. Stdev: 7216.020221941659 Schistosomiasis Control Initiative: Sum: 47908.0 Mean: 840.4912280701755 Median: 200.0 Mode: 1000.0 Stdev: 1618.7858558941969 Deworm the World Initiative : Sum: 28820.0 Mean: 565.0980392156863 Median: 150.0 Mode: 500.0 Stdev: 1432.7121867968033 GiveDirectly: Sum: 154410.177 Mean: 1429.723861111111 Median: 450.0 Mode: 50.0 Stdev: 3472.082406463215 Any kind of animal rights charity: Sum: 83130.47 Mean: 1093.8219736842104 Median: 154.235 Mode: 500.0 Stdev: 2313.493213799438 Any kind of bug rights charity: Sum: 1083.0 Mean: 270.75 Median: 157.5 Mode:All values found equally likely. Stdev: 353.39626011980755 Machine Intelligence Research Institute: Sum: 141792.5 Mean: 1417.925 Median: 100.0 Mode: 100.0 Stdev: 5370.485697132622 Any charity combating nuclear existential risk: Sum: 491.0 Mean: 81.83333333333333 Median: 75.0 Mode: 100.0 Stdev: 68.06002252913723 Any charity combating global warming: Sum: 13012.0 Mean: 245.50943396226415 Median: 100.0 Mode: 10.0 Stdev: 365.5429903498413 Center For Applied Rationality: Sum: 127101.0 Mean: 3177.525 Median: 150.0 Mode: 100.0 Stdev: 12969.096587929758 Strategies for Engineered Negligible Senescence Research Foundation: Sum: 9429.0 Mean: 554.6470588235294 Median: 100.0 Mode: 20.0 Stdev: 1156.431847385335 Wikipedia: Sum: 12765.5 Mean: 53.18958333333333 Median: 20.0 Mode: 10.0 Stdev: 126.4443520242066 Internet Archive: Sum: 2975.04 Mean: 80.40648648648649 Median: 30.0 Mode: 50.0 Stdev: 173.7911012971898 Any campaign for political office: Sum: 38443.99 Mean: 366.1332380952381 Median: 50.0 Mode: 50.0 Stdev: 1374.3058277660477 Other: Sum: 564890.46 Mean: 1661.4425294117646 Median: 200.0 Mode: 100.0 Stdev: 4670.805041609166 Do you follow any dietary restrictions related to animal products?: Yes, I am vegan: 54 1.8% Yes, I am vegetarian: 158 5.1% Yes, I restrict meat some other way (pescetarian, flexitarian, try to only eat ethically sourced meat): 375 12.2% No: 996 32.4% None: 1487 48.4% Wrapping Up Have you taken a previous LessWrong Survey?: Yes: 770 25.1% No: 870 28.3% N/A: 1430 46.6% Would you like to be put on a mailing list to hear about future developments in revitalizing LessWrong or new 'rationalist' communities? If yes put in your email address below. (This is optional and will not be published in the public survey results.):